Points
53Points expected by the market
49.67Gap
+3.33Yield
+14.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.66 | +29.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −3.15 | −27.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 27 | +5.68 | +34.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | +0.14 | +22.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −1.55 | −19.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 16 | +6.40 | +91.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.14 | +100.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.66 | +29.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.73 | −9.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −1.00 | +0.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Airdrieonians · Away3 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.27 |
| M2 | Partick · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.22 |
| M3 | Ayr · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.68 |
| M4 | Livingston · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.90 |
| M5 | Dunfermline · Away13 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −3.30 |
| M6 | Hamilton · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.67 | −3.97 |
| M7 | Falkirk · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.05 | −1.92 |
| M8 | Morton · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −3.32 |
| M9 | Queens Park · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −3.86 |
| M10 | Livingston · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.80 |
| M11 | Airdrieonians · Home29 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −3.73 |
| M12 | Ayr · Home1 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −2.01 |
| M13 | Partick · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.17 |
| M14 | Morton · Home16 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.97 | −4.14 |
| M15 | Falkirk · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −4.87 |
| M16 | Dunfermline · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −3.44 |
| M17 | Queens Park · Away20 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.67 |
| M18 | Livingston · Home28 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +0.20 |
| M19 | Ayr · Away4 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −0.76 |
| M20 | Falkirk · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −1.67 |
| M21 | Hamilton · Away28 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −0.12 |
| M22 | Dunfermline · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.35 |
| M23 | Partick · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −0.10 |
| M24 | Hamilton · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +0.85 |
| M25 | Airdrieonians · Away25 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −0.75 |
| M26 | Queens Park · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.80 | −2.56 |
| M27 | Livingston · Away5 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.27 | −2.29 |
| M28 | Dunfermline · Home14 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −0.89 |
| M29 | Partick · Away21 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.00 |
| M30 | Morton · Away25 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.31 | −1.31 |
| M31 | Hamilton · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.39 |
| M32 | Ayr · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +2.06 |
| M33 | Airdrieonians · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +1.37 |
| M34 | Falkirk · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.37 | +3.74 |
| M35 | Morton · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.07 | +2.67 |
| M36 | Queens Park · Away2 May 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.66 | +3.33 |
| Total | 53 | +3.33 | |||