Points
36Points expected by the market
37.75Gap
−1.75Yield
−14.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.69 | −45.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −2.74 | −52.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 20 | +2.68 | +11.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.69 | −45.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | +0.28 | −26.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −3.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 2 | −3.02 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 17 | +5.74 | +66.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ross County · Home2 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.10 |
| M2 | Dunfermline · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −1.08 |
| M3 | Queens Park · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −1.75 |
| M4 | Arbroath · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.92 |
| M5 | Partick · Away12 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −3.69 |
| M6 | Raith Rovers · Home20 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | −3.72 |
| M7 | St Johnstone · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −4.50 |
| M8 | Ayr · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −5.30 |
| M9 | Morton · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −6.51 |
| M10 | Queens Park · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −6.80 |
| M11 | Dunfermline · Home21 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.98 | −7.78 |
| M12 | Arbroath · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −6.02 |
| M13 | St Johnstone · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.40 | −6.43 |
| M14 | Partick · Home7 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −6.17 |
| M15 | Raith Rovers · Away15 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.33 | −3.84 |
| M16 | Ayr · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −4.75 |
| M17 | Ross County · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | −2.59 |
| M18 | Morton · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −0.60 |
| M19 | Queens Park · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.71 | −2.31 |
| M20 | Arbroath · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −2.23 |
| M21 | Raith Rovers · Home3 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −2.35 |
| M22 | Ayr · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.19 | −2.15 |
| M23 | Ross County · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −3.44 |
| M24 | Dunfermline · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −1.29 |
| M25 | St Johnstone · Home13 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −2.01 |
| M26 | Partick · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −2.76 |
| M27 | Morton · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.23 |
| M28 | Queens Park · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.56 |
| M29 | Arbroath · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −2.87 |
| M30 | Raith Rovers · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.88 |
| M31 | Ross County · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −1.83 |
| M32 | St Johnstone · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.50 | −2.32 |
| M33 | Dunfermline · Home14 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | −3.12 |
| M34 | Partick · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.11 | −3.00 |
| M35 | Ayr · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −1.52 |
| M36 | Morton · Away1 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −1.75 |
| Total | 36 | −1.75 | |||