Points
52Points expected by the market
43.69Gap
+8.31Yield
+10.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 12 | +0.35 | −13.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | +1.63 | −2.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 16 | +6.34 | +43.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.93 | +0.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 16 | +4.24 | +25.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.51 | +70.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.59 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.61 | −33.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 12 | +4.83 | +34.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ayr · Home1 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.10 |
| M2 | Queens Park · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.62 |
| M3 | St Johnstone · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | +1.01 |
| M4 | Airdrieonians · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +2.44 |
| M5 | Ross County · Away6 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | +4.62 |
| M6 | Dunfermline · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.14 | +3.47 |
| M7 | Morton · Home20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +3.06 |
| M8 | Raith Rovers · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.80 | +2.26 |
| M9 | Partick · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | +2.53 |
| M10 | Queens Park · Home11 Oct 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +3.94 |
| M11 | St Johnstone · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.23 | +6.16 |
| M12 | Airdrieonians · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +4.69 |
| M13 | Ross County · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +6.49 |
| M14 | Morton · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +5.30 |
| M15 | Ayr · Away15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | +5.53 |
| M16 | Raith Rovers · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +5.25 |
| M17 | Dunfermline · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +7.26 |
| M18 | Partick · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +9.12 |
| M19 | Ross County · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +10.96 |
| M20 | Airdrieonians · Home27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +10.14 |
| M21 | St Johnstone · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | +9.57 |
| M22 | Raith Rovers · Away10 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.95 | +11.52 |
| M23 | Morton · Home23 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | +10.75 |
| M24 | Queens Park · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.59 | +9.16 |
| M25 | Dunfermline · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.52 | +10.68 |
| M26 | Partick · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.18 | +10.87 |
| M27 | Ayr · Home3 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +10.42 |
| M28 | Ross County · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +9.86 |
| M29 | Airdrieonians · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | +9.46 |
| M30 | Queens Park · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +10.69 |
| M31 | Morton · Away28 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +9.37 |
| M32 | St Johnstone · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.81 | +8.55 |
| M33 | Ayr · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +7.41 |
| M34 | Raith Rovers · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +9.14 |
| M35 | Partick · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +8.75 |
| M36 | Dunfermline · Away1 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +8.31 |
| Total | 52 | +8.31 | |||