Points
39Points expected by the market
51.71Gap
−12.71Yield
−49.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 22 | −4.65 | −37.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 16 | −4.57 | −44.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −3.49 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −3.69 | −31.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −3.75 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.88 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.96 | −56.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −0.83 | −18.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.61 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Arbroath · Away1 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | −0.85 |
| M2 | Raith Rovers · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −2.34 |
| M3 | Morton · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −2.88 |
| M4 | Queens Park · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −3.71 |
| M5 | Ross County · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −4.12 |
| M6 | Dunfermline · Away23 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −2.31 |
| M7 | Airdrieonians · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.03 | −1.27 |
| M8 | St Johnstone · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.14 | −1.13 |
| M9 | Raith Rovers · Away11 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +0.71 |
| M10 | Morton · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +1.91 |
| M11 | Partick · Away21 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.79 |
| M12 | Queens Park · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.03 |
| M13 | Dunfermline · Home31 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | −1.64 |
| M14 | Ross County · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | −1.96 |
| M15 | Arbroath · Home15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | −2.94 |
| M16 | Airdrieonians · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −1.76 |
| M17 | Partick · Home6 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −2.18 |
| M18 | St Johnstone · Home12 Dec 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.20 |
| M19 | Dunfermline · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.69 | −1.51 |
| M20 | Morton · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −1.98 |
| M21 | Airdrieonians · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.94 | −2.93 |
| M22 | Partick · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.94 |
| M23 | Raith Rovers · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −2.59 |
| M24 | Ross County · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −3.28 |
| M25 | St Johnstone · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −4.02 |
| M26 | Arbroath · Away3 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −4.29 |
| M27 | Queens Park · Home10 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.83 | −6.12 |
| M28 | Queens Park · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −6.60 |
| M29 | Morton · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | −8.37 |
| M30 | Raith Rovers · Away27 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −9.58 |
| M31 | Partick · Home4 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −9.80 |
| M32 | Dunfermline · Home7 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | −11.01 |
| M33 | Arbroath · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −9.56 |
| M34 | Ross County · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −10.66 |
| M35 | Airdrieonians · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −11.86 |
| M36 | St Johnstone · Home1 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −12.71 |
| Total | 39 | −12.71 | |||