Points
51Points expected by the market
48.80Gap
+2.20Yield
+2.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 23 | +3.66 | +19.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 20 | −1.18 | −13.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | −0.28 | +9.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +0.60 | +5.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | −0.19 | −9.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +3.06 | +43.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −0.99 | −18.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +0.68 | +41.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Morton · Away2 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.33 |
| M2 | Airdrieonians · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.93 |
| M3 | Raith Rovers · Away22 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.06 |
| M4 | Ross County · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.46 |
| M5 | Arbroath · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +0.98 |
| M6 | St Johnstone · Away19 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | +0.21 |
| M7 | Ayr · Home23 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.31 |
| M8 | Partick · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −2.72 |
| M9 | Queens Park · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −3.49 |
| M10 | Raith Rovers · Home17 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −1.73 |
| M11 | Airdrieonians · Away21 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −0.46 |
| M12 | Ross County · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.65 |
| M13 | Ayr · Away31 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +0.31 |
| M14 | St Johnstone · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.25 |
| M15 | Morton · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +1.52 |
| M16 | Partick · Away25 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.57 |
| M17 | Arbroath · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.15 |
| M18 | Queens Park · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −1.92 |
| M19 | Ayr · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.39 | −3.31 |
| M20 | Raith Rovers · Away27 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −1.40 |
| M21 | St Johnstone · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.33 | +0.93 |
| M22 | Airdrieonians · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.87 | −0.95 |
| M23 | Morton · Away17 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −2.41 |
| M24 | Arbroath · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.63 |
| M25 | Partick · Home24 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | −3.86 |
| M26 | Queens Park · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −2.67 |
| M27 | Ross County · Home3 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −0.98 |
| M28 | Raith Rovers · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.60 |
| M29 | Ross County · Away21 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.40 |
| M30 | Morton · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.64 |
| M31 | Ayr · Away7 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.14 |
| M32 | Partick · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +2.18 |
| M33 | Airdrieonians · Away14 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | +2.24 |
| M34 | St Johnstone · Home21 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.33 |
| M35 | Queens Park · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.47 |
| M36 | Arbroath · Home1 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | +2.20 |
| Total | 51 | +2.20 | |||