Points
38Points expected by the market
41.61Gap
−3.61Yield
−38.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.28 | −42.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 24 | +2.96 | −21.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 10 | −5.28 | −54.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.28 | −42.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 19 | +4.77 | −5.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −3.55 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.81 | −54.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 10 | −1.73 | −40.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dunfermline · Home2 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.35 |
| M2 | Partick · Away9 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.40 |
| M3 | Ayr · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.57 |
| M4 | St Johnstone · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.40 | −0.17 |
| M5 | Raith Rovers · Home6 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.21 |
| M6 | Queens Park · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −1.59 |
| M7 | Arbroath · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.88 |
| M8 | Ross County · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −2.03 |
| M9 | Airdrieonians · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.53 |
| M10 | Partick · Home11 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.69 |
| M11 | Ayr · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.61 |
| M12 | St Johnstone · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.44 |
| M13 | Raith Rovers · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −2.39 |
| M14 | Arbroath · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −0.91 |
| M15 | Ross County · Away15 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +1.10 |
| M16 | Dunfermline · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +0.13 |
| M17 | Queens Park · Home5 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.27 |
| M18 | Airdrieonians · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −0.43 |
| M19 | St Johnstone · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.58 | −1.02 |
| M20 | Ayr · Home27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −1.25 |
| M21 | Partick · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −2.03 |
| M22 | Arbroath · Away23 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −1.99 |
| M23 | Ross County · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −0.31 |
| M24 | Raith Rovers · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.53 |
| M25 | Dunfermline · Home17 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +1.23 |
| M26 | Queens Park · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.16 |
| M27 | Airdrieonians · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.41 |
| M28 | St Johnstone · Home7 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −2.15 |
| M29 | Partick · Home13 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −3.09 |
| M30 | Ayr · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | −1.06 |
| M31 | Arbroath · Home28 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.57 |
| M32 | Dunfermline · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −0.39 |
| M33 | Raith Rovers · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.35 |
| M34 | Queens Park · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | −2.07 |
| M35 | Ross County · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.11 |
| M36 | Airdrieonians · Home1 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −3.61 |
| Total | 38 | −3.61 | |||