Points
66Points expected by the market
58.53Gap
+7.47Yield
−3.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.26 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 41 | +3.15 | −7.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 20 | +5.44 | +26.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.26 | −30.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 31 | +7.18 | +21.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +3.21 | +81.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 10 | −4.03 | −54.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.23 | +6.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.85 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St Johnstone · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.03 |
| M2 | Morton · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −1.70 |
| M3 | Ross County · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +0.22 |
| M4 | Raith Rovers · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.85 |
| M5 | Airdrieonians · Home12 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +2.85 |
| M6 | Dunfermline · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +4.56 |
| M7 | Queens Park · Away30 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +5.85 |
| M8 | Arbroath · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | +4.80 |
| M9 | Morton · Away11 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | +4.25 |
| M10 | Ross County · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +5.48 |
| M11 | Ayr · Home21 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +6.88 |
| M12 | Raith Rovers · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | +5.52 |
| M13 | Queens Park · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +6.34 |
| M14 | Airdrieonians · Away7 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | +5.32 |
| M15 | St Johnstone · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +7.08 |
| M16 | Dunfermline · Home25 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +8.32 |
| M17 | Ayr · Away6 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +8.03 |
| M18 | Arbroath · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +6.45 |
| M19 | Raith Rovers · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +5.74 |
| M20 | Queens Park · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.93 | +4.81 |
| M21 | Morton · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.03 | +5.85 |
| M22 | Ross County · Away9 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +4.28 |
| M23 | Ayr · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.57 |
| M24 | St Johnstone · Away30 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | +5.75 |
| M25 | Airdrieonians · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +6.74 |
| M26 | Dunfermline · Away24 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | +6.26 |
| M27 | Arbroath · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | +5.32 |
| M28 | Morton · Away13 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +6.54 |
| M29 | St Johnstone · Home20 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +6.34 |
| M30 | Raith Rovers · Away24 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +7.90 |
| M31 | Ross County · Home27 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +9.03 |
| M32 | Ayr · Away4 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +8.53 |
| M33 | Dunfermline · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +9.75 |
| M34 | Airdrieonians · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +8.88 |
| M35 | Arbroath · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | +8.56 |
| M36 | Queens Park · Home1 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.09 | +7.47 |
| Total | 66 | +7.47 | |||