Points
41Points expected by the market
34.08Gap
+6.92Yield
−6.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +2.37 | +2.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 25 | 25 | +4.55 | −10.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.57 | +25.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −0.81 | −51.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.20 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 18 | +5.35 | +12.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Raith Rovers · Away2 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.42 |
| M2 | Arbroath · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.83 |
| M3 | Airdrieonians · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.90 |
| M4 | Ayr · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −0.82 |
| M5 | Morton · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −1.16 |
| M6 | Ross County · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.27 | +1.12 |
| M7 | St Johnstone · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +0.43 |
| M8 | Partick · Home30 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.60 |
| M9 | Dunfermline · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −0.56 |
| M10 | Arbroath · Away11 Oct 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.68 |
| M11 | Airdrieonians · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | −2.08 |
| M12 | Ayr · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −2.05 |
| M13 | Partick · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.61 | −2.67 |
| M14 | Raith Rovers · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | −0.56 |
| M15 | St Johnstone · Away15 Nov 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.38 | −0.94 |
| M16 | Morton · Away5 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.81 |
| M17 | Dunfermline · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −1.78 |
| M18 | Airdrieonians · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.99 | +0.21 |
| M19 | Partick · Home27 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.39 |
| M20 | Raith Rovers · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.40 |
| M21 | Arbroath · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.48 |
| M22 | Ross County · Home3 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.35 |
| M23 | Ross County · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +2.49 |
| M24 | Morton · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.70 | +4.19 |
| M25 | St Johnstone · Home24 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | +4.55 |
| M26 | Dunfermline · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | +3.63 |
| M27 | Airdrieonians · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +5.25 |
| M28 | Ayr · Away10 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | +7.36 |
| M29 | Ayr · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +7.13 |
| M30 | Arbroath · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | +6.18 |
| M31 | St Johnstone · Away28 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.53 | +6.72 |
| M32 | Ross County · Home10 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +8.43 |
| M33 | Raith Rovers · Home14 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +7.48 |
| M34 | Morton · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | +7.48 |
| M35 | Dunfermline · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +6.61 |
| M36 | Partick · Away1 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.31 | +6.92 |
| Total | 41 | +6.92 | |||