Points
45Points expected by the market
53.58Gap
−8.58Yield
−29.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 1 | −3.31 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 27 | +1.10 | −2.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 14 | −4.75 | −22.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.63 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 1 | −3.31 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 19 | +1.66 | +8.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 9 | +2.48 | +56.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.56 | −24.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 5 | −7.23 | −66.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.61 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Queens Park · Home2 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.22 | −1.22 |
| M2 | Ayr · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +0.57 |
| M3 | Dunfermline · Home22 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +1.84 |
| M4 | Partick · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +0.50 |
| M5 | Morton · Away6 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.82 |
| M6 | St Johnstone · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.59 |
| M7 | Airdrieonians · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −0.10 |
| M8 | Arbroath · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +0.95 |
| M9 | Ross County · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.42 |
| M10 | Ayr · Home11 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.96 |
| M11 | Dunfermline · Away17 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −3.40 |
| M12 | Partick · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −1.74 |
| M13 | Morton · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −2.52 |
| M14 | Queens Park · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −4.36 |
| M15 | Airdrieonians · Home15 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.09 | −6.45 |
| M16 | Arbroath · Away22 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −6.88 |
| M17 | St Johnstone · Away6 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.23 | −6.64 |
| M18 | Ross County · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −5.29 |
| M19 | Partick · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | −5.30 |
| M20 | Dunfermline · Home27 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −6.91 |
| M21 | Airdrieonians · Away3 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −7.50 |
| M22 | Arbroath · Home10 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.66 | −9.16 |
| M23 | Queens Park · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −8.11 |
| M24 | Ayr · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −9.17 |
| M25 | Morton · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −9.64 |
| M26 | St Johnstone · Home20 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | −9.66 |
| M27 | Ross County · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −10.94 |
| M28 | Dunfermline · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −12.21 |
| M29 | Airdrieonians · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.30 | −10.91 |
| M30 | Partick · Home24 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −12.17 |
| M31 | Ayr · Home27 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | −10.66 |
| M32 | Morton · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.24 | −9.42 |
| M33 | Queens Park · Away14 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −8.19 |
| M34 | Arbroath · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −9.61 |
| M35 | St Johnstone · Away24 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −10.38 |
| M36 | Ross County · Home1 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | −8.58 |
| Total | 45 | −8.58 | |||