Points
34Points expected by the market
50.97Gap
−16.97Yield
−47.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.05 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 11 | −11.09 | −53.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 20 | −1.62 | −19.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −2.20 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.05 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 6 | −9.76 | −55.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +4.34 | +49.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.14 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.32 | −47.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 6 | −5.97 | −73.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.34 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Airdrieonians · Away2 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −0.63 |
| M2 | St Johnstone · Home8 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.98 |
| M3 | Partick · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.64 | −3.63 |
| M4 | Dunfermline · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −3.93 |
| M5 | Arbroath · Home6 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | −5.87 |
| M6 | Ayr · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −6.19 |
| M7 | Queens Park · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.05 | −8.24 |
| M8 | Morton · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −8.81 |
| M9 | Raith Rovers · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −7.15 |
| M10 | St Johnstone · Away11 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | −6.95 |
| M11 | Partick · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −7.92 |
| M12 | Dunfermline · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.47 | −6.45 |
| M13 | Arbroath · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −7.97 |
| M14 | Ayr · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.39 | −8.36 |
| M15 | Morton · Home15 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.75 | −10.11 |
| M16 | Airdrieonians · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | −12.03 |
| M17 | Raith Rovers · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.07 | −13.10 |
| M18 | Arbroath · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −14.66 |
| M19 | St Johnstone · Home27 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.14 | −14.53 |
| M20 | Partick · Home9 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −12.67 |
| M21 | Airdrieonians · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −11.10 |
| M22 | Morton · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −12.48 |
| M23 | Queens Park · Away3 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −11.07 |
| M24 | Queens Park · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.88 | −12.94 |
| M25 | Ayr · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −12.97 |
| M26 | Raith Rovers · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −11.38 |
| M27 | Dunfermline · Away3 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −12.77 |
| M28 | Arbroath · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −12.91 |
| M29 | St Johnstone · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −13.58 |
| M30 | Dunfermline · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −14.08 |
| M31 | Partick · Away27 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −14.94 |
| M32 | Airdrieonians · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.79 | −16.73 |
| M33 | Queens Park · Away10 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −18.14 |
| M34 | Ayr · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −16.75 |
| M35 | Morton · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −15.43 |
| M36 | Raith Rovers · Away1 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −16.97 |
| Total | 34 | −16.97 | |||