Points
77Points expected by the market
70.67Gap
+6.33Yield
−2.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 27 | +0.19 | −11.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 44 | +4.49 | −5.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.66 | +57.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 23 | +0.43 | −7.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +0.56 | −17.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.24 | −27.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 28 | +3.92 | +1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.66 | +57.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Partick · Home2 Aug 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| M2 | Ross County · Away8 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +2.92 |
| M3 | Arbroath · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +3.73 |
| M4 | Morton · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.19 | +2.54 |
| M5 | Raith Rovers · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +4.06 |
| M6 | Dunfermline · Home19 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +5.08 |
| M7 | Airdrieonians · Away23 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | +6.10 |
| M8 | Queens Park · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +7.00 |
| M9 | Ayr · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +6.11 |
| M10 | Ross County · Home11 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | +5.14 |
| M11 | Arbroath · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.99 | +3.15 |
| M12 | Morton · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +4.23 |
| M13 | Airdrieonians · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.56 | +4.80 |
| M14 | Dunfermline · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | +4.14 |
| M15 | Queens Park · Home15 Nov 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.54 | +4.68 |
| M16 | Partick · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +3.20 |
| M17 | Raith Rovers · Home6 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.98 | +2.22 |
| M18 | Ayr · Away12 Dec 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.30 | +3.51 |
| M19 | Morton · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +4.30 |
| M20 | Ross County · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | +3.41 |
| M21 | Arbroath · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +4.19 |
| M22 | Dunfermline · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.09 | +2.10 |
| M23 | Partick · Home30 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.92 | +1.18 |
| M24 | Airdrieonians · Away13 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +2.13 |
| M25 | Raith Rovers · Away20 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | +1.44 |
| M26 | Queens Park · Away24 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | +0.29 |
| M27 | Ayr · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.98 | +1.27 |
| M28 | Morton · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +2.26 |
| M29 | Ross County · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +3.16 |
| M30 | Partick · Away20 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | +2.64 |
| M31 | Queens Park · Home28 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.36 | +1.28 |
| M32 | Arbroath · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.35 |
| M33 | Airdrieonians · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +3.03 |
| M34 | Dunfermline · Away21 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +4.21 |
| M35 | Raith Rovers · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +5.23 |
| M36 | Ayr · Away1 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +6.33 |
| Total | 77 | +6.33 | |||