Points
17Points expected by the market
21.25Gap
−4.25Yield
−30.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 9 | +0.42 | +6.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −3.23 | −56.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.44 | −40.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.51 | −7.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.58 | −42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.51 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.93 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.65 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.07 | −20.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Queens Park · Home1 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +0.88 |
| M2 | Partick · Away7 Aug 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.35 |
| M3 | Dunfermline · Home22 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +0.83 |
| M4 | Arbroath · Away29 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −0.83 |
| M5 | Stenhousemuir · Home4 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.15 | −2.97 |
| M6 | Morton · Away11 Sep 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.93 | −2.04 |
| M7 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home19 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | −2.77 |
| M8 | Raith Rovers · Away25 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −1.19 |
| M9 | Ayr · Home3 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.03 | −3.21 |
| M10 | Partick · Home10 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −4.72 |
| M11 | Dunfermline · Away17 Oct 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −5.00 |
| M12 | Arbroath · Home24 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.75 | −4.25 |
| Total | 17 | −4.25 | |||