Points
25Points expected by the market
21.83Gap
+3.17Yield
+4.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.25 | −9.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +0.36 | −5.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 8 | +2.56 | +28.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.25 | −9.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.23 | −25.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.51 | +125.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.13 | +7.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +1.04 | −3.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Morton · Away1 Aug 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +1.03 |
| M2 | Livingston · Home7 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.54 |
| M3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away21 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.17 |
| M4 | Queens Park · Home29 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.33 | +0.84 |
| M5 | Ayr · Home5 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +1.79 |
| M6 | Stenhousemuir · Away15 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.00 | −0.21 |
| M7 | Raith Rovers · Home19 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | −0.92 |
| M8 | Arbroath · Home3 Oct 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −0.16 |
| M9 | Livingston · Away10 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.63 |
| M10 | Ayr · Away16 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.73 |
| M11 | Dunfermline · Away20 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.36 |
| M12 | Stenhousemuir · Home24 Oct 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +3.17 |
| Total | 25 | +3.17 | |||