← League One 2019-20

East Fife

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5WLWWL

Points

Points expected by the market

40.93

Gap

+4.07

Yield

−10.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.14	−1.14	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	10	23	17.99	+5.01	+23.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	19	18.37	+0.63	−8.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	3	2	2.44	−0.44	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.14	−1.14	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	14	12.79	+1.21	−3.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	5	8	7.08	+0.92	+1.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	1	0.94	+0.06	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	9	5.20	+3.80	+86.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	11	11.29	−0.29	−14.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	1	1.51	−0.51	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Clyde · Away3 Aug 2019	3 Aug 2019	D 1-1	2.86	1.23	1	−0.23	−0.23	−€1.00
M2	Peterhead · Home10 Aug 2019	10 Aug 2019	D 1-1	2.26	1.48	1	−0.48	−0.72	−€1.00
M3	Airdrieonians · Home24 Aug 2019	24 Aug 2019	W 4-1	2.31	1.45	3	+1.55	+0.83	+€1.31
M4	Raith Rovers · Home31 Aug 2019	31 Aug 2019	W 4-2	2.78	1.26	3	+1.74	+2.57	+€1.78
M5	Forfar · Away7 Sep 2019	7 Sep 2019	W 2-1	2.52	1.37	3	+1.63	+4.20	+€1.52
M6	Montrose · Away14 Sep 2019	14 Sep 2019	W 3-1	1.90	1.70	3	+1.30	+5.50	+€0.90
M7	Dumbarton · Home21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	D 2-2	1.65	1.90	1	−0.90	+4.59	−€1.00
M8	Falkirk · Away28 Sep 2019	28 Sep 2019	D 0-0	4.56	0.84	1	+0.16	+4.75	−€1.00
M9	Stranraer · Home5 Oct 2019	5 Oct 2019	D 1-1	1.42	2.14	1	−1.14	+3.61	−€1.00
M10	Forfar · Home19 Oct 2019	19 Oct 2019	W 1-0	1.68	1.88	3	+1.12	+4.73	+€0.68
M11	Raith Rovers · Away26 Oct 2019	26 Oct 2019	D 1-1	2.98	1.19	1	−0.19	+4.54	−€1.00
M12	Montrose · Home2 Nov 2019	2 Nov 2019	L 0-1	1.92	1.70	0	−1.70	+2.84	−€1.00
M13	Dumbarton · Away9 Nov 2019	9 Nov 2019	W 4-2	2.20	1.52	3	+1.48	+4.32	+€1.20
M14	Clyde · Home26 Nov 2019	26 Nov 2019	D 0-0	1.95	1.67	1	−0.67	+3.65	−€1.00
M15	Airdrieonians · Away30 Nov 2019	30 Nov 2019	L 0-4	3.00	1.17	0	−1.17	+2.48	−€1.00
M16	Falkirk · Home7 Dec 2019	7 Dec 2019	D 0-0	4.02	0.94	1	+0.06	+2.54	−€1.00
M17	Stranraer · Away14 Dec 2019	14 Dec 2019	W 2-0	1.80	1.78	3	+1.22	+3.76	+€0.80
M18	Peterhead · Away21 Dec 2019	21 Dec 2019	W 2-1	2.95	1.20	3	+1.80	+5.56	+€1.95
M19	Raith Rovers · Home28 Dec 2019	28 Dec 2019	L 3-5	2.32	1.46	0	−1.46	+4.10	−€1.00
M20	Montrose · Away4 Jan 2020	4 Jan 2020	L 0-1	2.93	1.19	0	−1.19	+2.91	−€1.00
M21	Airdrieonians · Home11 Jan 2020	11 Jan 2020	D 2-2	2.39	1.42	1	−0.42	+2.49	−€1.00
M22	Clyde · Away25 Jan 2020	25 Jan 2020	L 1-2	2.78	1.26	0	−1.26	+1.23	−€1.00
M23	Dumbarton · Home1 Feb 2020	1 Feb 2020	W 4-2	1.62	1.93	3	+1.07	+2.30	+€0.62
M24	Peterhead · Home15 Feb 2020	15 Feb 2020	W 1-0	1.82	1.76	3	+1.24	+3.54	+€0.82
M25	Falkirk · Away18 Feb 2020	18 Feb 2020	L 0-2	6.08	0.66	0	−0.66	+2.87	−€1.00
M26	Stranraer · Home22 Feb 2020	22 Feb 2020	W 4-2	1.61	1.95	3	+1.05	+3.93	+€0.61
M27	Forfar · Away29 Feb 2020	29 Feb 2020	W 1-0	1.89	1.71	3	+1.29	+5.21	+€0.89
M28	Airdrieonians · Away7 Mar 2020	7 Mar 2020	L 0-1	3.10	1.15	0	−1.15	+4.07	−€1.00
Total					40.93	45	+4.07		−€2.92