← League One 2019-20

Forfar

Season 2019-20 · 28 matches played

Last 5DDLLL

Points

24

Points expected by the market

31.84

Gap

−7.84

Yield

−45.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 4 7 6.85 +0.15 −9.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 12 13 15.29 −2.29 −3.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 12 4 9.70 −5.70 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Airdrieonians · Away3 Aug 2019 3 Aug 2019 W 2-0 2.52 1.36 3 +1.64 +1.64 +€1.52
M2 Stranraer · Home10 Aug 2019 10 Aug 2019 W 1-0 1.65 1.91 3 +1.09 +2.73 +€0.65
M3 Peterhead · Away24 Aug 2019 24 Aug 2019 L 0-1 2.16 1.54 0 −1.54 +1.20 −€1.00
M4 Clyde · Home31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 D 0-0 1.86 1.73 1 −0.73 +0.47 −€1.00
M5 East Fife · Home7 Sep 2019 7 Sep 2019 L 1-2 2.55 1.36 0 −1.36 −0.89 −€1.00
M6 Falkirk · Away14 Sep 2019 14 Sep 2019 L 0-3 6.36 0.65 0 −0.65 −1.54 −€1.00
M7 Montrose · Home21 Sep 2019 21 Sep 2019 W 2-0 1.96 1.67 3 +1.33 −0.21 +€0.96
M8 Raith Rovers · Home28 Sep 2019 28 Sep 2019 L 1-2 3.77 0.98 0 −0.98 −1.20 −€1.00
M9 Dumbarton · Away5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 L 1-3 2.79 1.25 0 −1.25 −2.44 −€1.00
M10 East Fife · Away19 Oct 2019 19 Oct 2019 L 0-1 4.33 0.88 0 −0.88 −3.32 −€1.00
M11 Airdrieonians · Home26 Oct 2019 26 Oct 2019 L 1-4 2.30 1.47 0 −1.47 −4.79 −€1.00
M12 Falkirk · Home2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 L 0-2 5.04 0.78 0 −0.78 −5.57 −€1.00
M13 Montrose · Away9 Nov 2019 9 Nov 2019 L 0-3 3.43 1.06 0 −1.06 −6.63 −€1.00
M14 Raith Rovers · Away26 Nov 2019 26 Nov 2019 D 0-0 5.98 0.67 1 +0.33 −6.31 −€1.00
M15 Peterhead · Home30 Nov 2019 30 Nov 2019 W 2-1 2.85 1.23 3 +1.77 −4.54 +€1.85
M16 Clyde · Away7 Dec 2019 7 Dec 2019 D 0-0 3.58 1.03 1 −0.03 −4.57 −€1.00
M17 Dumbarton · Home14 Dec 2019 14 Dec 2019 L 3-4 2.30 1.48 0 −1.48 −6.05 −€1.00
M18 Stranraer · Away21 Dec 2019 21 Dec 2019 W 4-2 2.73 1.28 3 +1.72 −4.33 +€1.73
M19 Montrose · Home28 Dec 2019 28 Dec 2019 L 2-3 2.99 1.18 0 −1.18 −5.51 −€1.00
M20 Airdrieonians · Away4 Jan 2020 4 Jan 2020 L 0-1 5.08 0.76 0 −0.76 −6.27 −€1.00
M21 Raith Rovers · Home11 Jan 2020 11 Jan 2020 D 1-1 4.19 0.90 1 +0.10 −6.17 −€1.00
M22 Falkirk · Away25 Jan 2020 25 Jan 2020 L 0-6 10.02 0.45 0 −0.45 −6.62 −€1.00
M23 Clyde · Home1 Feb 2020 1 Feb 2020 W 2-1 3.44 1.05 3 +1.95 −4.67 +€2.44
M24 Stranraer · Home15 Feb 2020 15 Feb 2020 D 1-1 2.40 1.41 1 −0.41 −5.08 −€1.00
M25 Peterhead · Away25 Feb 2020 25 Feb 2020 D 1-1 3.81 0.95 1 +0.05 −5.03 −€1.00
M26 East Fife · Home29 Feb 2020 29 Feb 2020 L 0-1 3.55 1.03 0 −1.03 −6.06 −€1.00
M27 Dumbarton · Away3 Mar 2020 3 Mar 2020 L 0-2 3.06 1.16 0 −1.16 −7.22 −€1.00
M28 Raith Rovers · Away7 Mar 2020 7 Mar 2020 L 1-2 6.59 0.62 0 −0.62 −7.84 −€1.00
Total 31.84 24 −7.84 −€12.85