Points
40Points expected by the market
38.44Gap
+1.56Yield
−12.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 11 | −2.20 | −27.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 22 | +6.18 | +40.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.40 | −63.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 5 | −3.92 | −63.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.16 | +45.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.42 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.72 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.02 | +29.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.98 | −55.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.03 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Clyde · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −1.54 |
| M2 | Airdrieonians · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.27 |
| M3 | Cove Rangers · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.30 |
| M4 | Falkirk · Home7 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | −1.71 |
| M5 | East Fife · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | −0.74 |
| M6 | Montrose · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.76 |
| M7 | Dumbarton · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.13 | −0.37 |
| M8 | Forfar · Away12 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +0.50 |
| M9 | Peterhead · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.20 | −1.70 |
| M10 | Falkirk · Away26 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −1.94 |
| M11 | Cove Rangers · Home20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −2.55 |
| M12 | Airdrieonians · Away27 Mar 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.16 | −1.40 |
| M13 | Forfar · Home30 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.50 | −2.90 |
| M14 | East Fife · Away6 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | −3.40 |
| M15 | Peterhead · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.99 |
| M16 | Clyde · Home13 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | −1.08 |
| M17 | Montrose · Home15 Apr 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +0.09 |
| M18 | Dumbarton · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +0.95 |
| M19 | Airdrieonians · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +2.07 |
| M20 | Cove Rangers · Away27 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | +1.63 |
| M21 | Falkirk · Home29 Apr 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +2.84 |
| M22 | Montrose · Away4 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | +1.56 |
| Total | 40 | +1.56 | |||