Points
24Points expected by the market
35.67Gap
−11.67Yield
−53.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 5 | −0.09 | −42.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 7 | −4.52 | −39.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 12 | −7.06 | −60.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.49 | −13.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −1.67 | −22.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −0.35 | −57.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.58 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.85 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 5 | −6.71 | −62.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Queen of the South · Away30 Jul 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.28 | +2.28 |
| M2 | Peterhead · Home6 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | +1.61 |
| M3 | Kelty Hearts · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +3.20 |
| M4 | Montrose · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +2.16 |
| M5 | FC Edinburgh · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +0.72 |
| M6 | Alloa · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.58 |
| M7 | Airdrieonians · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.43 |
| M8 | Falkirk · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −2.25 |
| M9 | Montrose · Home8 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.41 |
| M10 | Kelty Hearts · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −4.40 |
| M11 | Dunfermline · Home18 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −5.04 |
| M12 | Queen of the South · Home22 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −6.01 |
| M13 | Alloa · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −6.82 |
| M14 | Airdrieonians · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −7.82 |
| M15 | Dunfermline · Away12 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.50 | −7.32 |
| M16 | Falkirk · Home19 Nov 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.18 | −7.14 |
| M17 | FC Edinburgh · Home3 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −8.50 |
| M18 | Alloa · Home23 Dec 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −8.56 |
| M19 | Queen of the South · Away31 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −9.57 |
| M20 | Kelty Hearts · Home7 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −10.76 |
| M21 | Falkirk · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.56 | −11.32 |
| M22 | Peterhead · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −12.73 |
| M23 | Dunfermline · Home28 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.33 | −12.40 |
| M24 | Airdrieonians · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −13.00 |
| M25 | Peterhead · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −11.83 |
| M26 | FC Edinburgh · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −12.79 |
| M27 | Montrose · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.68 | −13.47 |
| M28 | Queen of the South · Home11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −13.44 |
| M29 | Alloa · Away18 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −14.20 |
| M30 | Airdrieonians · Home24 Mar 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.67 | −14.87 |
| M31 | Falkirk · Home1 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | −14.51 |
| M32 | Kelty Hearts · Away8 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.09 | −14.42 |
| M33 | FC Edinburgh · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −12.62 |
| M34 | Peterhead · Away22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −13.20 |
| M35 | Dunfermline · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.51 | −13.71 |
| M36 | Montrose · Home6 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.04 | −11.67 |
| Total | 24 | −11.67 | |||