Points
40Points expected by the market
46.22Gap
−6.22Yield
−23.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −3.26 | −29.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 18 | −2.26 | −29.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −1.59 | −15.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −2.10 | −31.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +2.23 | +13.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.16 | −27.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 3 | −4.49 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | +0.47 | +2.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Edinburgh · Home30 Jul 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.93 | −1.93 |
| M2 | Alloa · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.15 |
| M3 | Clyde · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −4.45 |
| M4 | Dunfermline · Home20 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −4.56 |
| M5 | Montrose · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −5.58 |
| M6 | Falkirk · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.77 |
| M7 | Peterhead · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −5.48 |
| M8 | Airdrieonians · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −3.63 |
| M9 | FC Edinburgh · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −5.06 |
| M10 | Queen of the South · Home11 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −3.30 |
| M11 | Clyde · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −2.04 |
| M12 | Falkirk · Away22 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.27 | +0.23 |
| M13 | Dunfermline · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −0.51 |
| M14 | Alloa · Home5 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −1.03 |
| M15 | Montrose · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −2.36 |
| M16 | Airdrieonians · Away19 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.37 |
| M17 | Peterhead · Home3 Dec 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −2.35 |
| M18 | Queen of the South · Away17 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | −0.34 |
| M19 | Dunfermline · Home24 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.36 |
| M20 | Alloa · Away31 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −1.49 |
| M21 | Clyde · Away7 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −0.03 |
| M22 | Airdrieonians · Home14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.35 |
| M23 | Montrose · Away28 Jan 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.57 |
| M24 | Falkirk · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.60 |
| M25 | Queen of the South · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −0.05 |
| M26 | Peterhead · Away25 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −0.96 |
| M27 | FC Edinburgh · Home4 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −2.58 |
| M28 | Airdrieonians · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.00 | −3.57 |
| M29 | Montrose · Home18 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −4.82 |
| M30 | Falkirk · Away24 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.44 | −4.38 |
| M31 | Dunfermline · Away1 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.47 | −3.91 |
| M32 | Clyde · Home8 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | −4.74 |
| M33 | Alloa · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −5.96 |
| M34 | FC Edinburgh · Away22 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −6.16 |
| M35 | Peterhead · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | −5.27 |
| M36 | Queen of the South · Away6 May 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.95 | −6.22 |
| Total | 40 | −6.22 | |||