Points
54Points expected by the market
53.60Gap
+0.40Yield
−4.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.40 | +32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 26 | +1.40 | +4.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 18 | −2.74 | −20.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.35 | +10.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.40 | +32.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −2.84 | −21.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +1.11 | +12.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.25 | +49.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.85 | −46.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.35 | +10.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Clyde · Home30 Jul 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −2.06 | −2.06 |
| M2 | Montrose · Away6 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.33 |
| M3 | Airdrieonians · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.59 |
| M4 | Peterhead · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −1.39 |
| M5 | Falkirk · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.64 |
| M6 | Dunfermline · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −3.85 |
| M7 | FC Edinburgh · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.54 |
| M8 | Alloa · Home1 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −3.12 |
| M9 | Airdrieonians · Away8 Oct 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.09 | −3.21 |
| M10 | Kelty Hearts · Away11 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −4.70 |
| M11 | Peterhead · Home15 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | −3.79 |
| M12 | Clyde · Away22 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −2.57 |
| M13 | Falkirk · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −3.86 |
| M14 | FC Edinburgh · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −2.38 |
| M15 | Alloa · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.37 | −3.74 |
| M16 | Montrose · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −2.20 |
| M17 | Dunfermline · Away3 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −2.18 |
| M18 | Kelty Hearts · Home17 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | −3.94 |
| M19 | Falkirk · Away23 Dec 2022 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.96 | −4.90 |
| M20 | Clyde · Home31 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −3.65 |
| M21 | Alloa · Home7 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −5.20 |
| M22 | Montrose · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −6.44 |
| M23 | Peterhead · Away28 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.11 | −5.32 |
| M24 | FC Edinburgh · Home4 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −4.24 |
| M25 | Kelty Hearts · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −5.50 |
| M26 | Dunfermline · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.64 |
| M27 | Airdrieonians · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | −5.01 |
| M28 | Clyde · Away11 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −5.79 |
| M29 | Falkirk · Home18 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −3.95 |
| M30 | FC Edinburgh · Away24 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −2.44 |
| M31 | Peterhead · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.48 | −1.96 |
| M32 | Alloa · Away8 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.35 |
| M33 | Dunfermline · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.21 |
| M34 | Montrose · Home22 Apr 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.72 | −2.93 |
| M35 | Airdrieonians · Away29 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.15 | −0.78 |
| M36 | Kelty Hearts · Home6 May 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +0.40 |
| Total | 54 | +0.40 | |||