Points
56Points expected by the market
47.57Gap
+8.43Yield
+21.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +0.85 | +13.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 10 | −5.46 | −58.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 29 | +8.82 | +51.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +4.23 | +47.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.31 | +7.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −1.91 | −46.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 15 | +6.50 | +103.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −1.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.54 | +20.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.56 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +2.32 | +17.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 10 | +6.07 | +146.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Queen of the South · Away5 Aug 2023 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.98 | +1.98 |
| M2 | Stirling · Home12 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +0.52 |
| M3 | Kelty Hearts · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −0.78 |
| M4 | Falkirk · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.55 |
| M5 | Cove Rangers · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.19 |
| M6 | Hamilton · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −0.48 |
| M7 | Annan Athletic · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.82 |
| M8 | Edinburgh City · Home30 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | −1.74 |
| M9 | Montrose · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.80 |
| M10 | Kelty Hearts · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −1.16 |
| M11 | Falkirk · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.46 | −1.62 |
| M12 | Stirling · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +0.22 |
| M13 | Queen of the South · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +1.77 |
| M14 | Edinburgh City · Away18 Nov 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.80 | −0.03 |
| M15 | Hamilton · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.39 |
| M16 | Cove Rangers · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +2.54 |
| M17 | Montrose · Home23 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | +1.89 |
| M18 | Edinburgh City · Home6 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.31 | +2.19 |
| M19 | Queen of the South · Away13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +1.73 |
| M20 | Falkirk · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.50 | +1.23 |
| M21 | Annan Athletic · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +2.78 |
| M22 | Stirling · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +4.28 |
| M23 | Annan Athletic · Home13 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +5.58 |
| M24 | Cove Rangers · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +7.11 |
| M25 | Hamilton · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.39 | +9.50 |
| M26 | Montrose · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.24 | +8.26 |
| M27 | Kelty Hearts · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +9.53 |
| M28 | Edinburgh City · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.54 | +10.07 |
| M29 | Kelty Hearts · Away19 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | +8.32 |
| M30 | Queen of the South · Home23 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.73 | +6.58 |
| M31 | Annan Athletic · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | +5.93 |
| M32 | Stirling · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +7.55 |
| M33 | Montrose · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | +7.03 |
| M34 | Cove Rangers · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +8.75 |
| M35 | Hamilton · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | +7.76 |
| M36 | Falkirk · Away4 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.68 | +8.43 |
| Total | 56 | +8.43 | |||