Points
39Points expected by the market
39.97Gap
−0.97Yield
−19.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.56 | +35.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.09 | +34.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −0.68 | −33.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 8 | −2.94 | −22.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.72 | +31.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.75 | +102.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | +0.86 | −3.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −1.81 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.67 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −1.54 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 7 | −1.13 | +6.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Falkirk · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.58 | −0.58 |
| M2 | Montrose · Home12 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.88 |
| M3 | Queen of the South · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −2.57 |
| M4 | Edinburgh City · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.35 | −1.21 |
| M5 | Kelty Hearts · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −1.22 |
| M6 | Stirling · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.52 |
| M7 | Alloa · Home23 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.13 |
| M8 | Hamilton · Away29 Sep 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.54 | −0.41 |
| M9 | Cove Rangers · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −1.23 |
| M10 | Queen of the South · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −2.51 |
| M11 | Edinburgh City · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.67 | −4.18 |
| M12 | Kelty Hearts · Home4 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | −4.56 |
| M13 | Montrose · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −4.55 |
| M14 | Hamilton · Home28 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −5.33 |
| M15 | Cove Rangers · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −6.37 |
| M16 | Stirling · Away16 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −6.48 |
| M17 | Falkirk · Home23 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.43 | −6.91 |
| M18 | Queen of the South · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −7.94 |
| M19 | Montrose · Home6 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | −8.17 |
| M20 | Kelty Hearts · Away13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −8.26 |
| M21 | Edinburgh City · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.72 | −7.54 |
| M22 | Alloa · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −8.83 |
| M23 | Hamilton · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.62 | −6.21 |
| M24 | Alloa · Away13 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −7.27 |
| M25 | Stirling · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −5.56 |
| M26 | Cove Rangers · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −6.40 |
| M27 | Falkirk · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.73 | −5.67 |
| M28 | Queen of the South · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −3.96 |
| M29 | Montrose · Away16 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −3.94 |
| M30 | Kelty Hearts · Home23 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.40 | −2.54 |
| M31 | Alloa · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −2.64 |
| M32 | Hamilton · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −3.53 |
| M33 | Cove Rangers · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.61 | −1.92 |
| M34 | Edinburgh City · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.85 | −1.08 |
| M35 | Falkirk · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.29 | −0.79 |
| M36 | Stirling · Away4 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.97 |
| Total | 39 | −0.97 | |||