Points
49Points expected by the market
54.24Gap
−5.24Yield
−23.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +1.59 | +19.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 22 | −1.61 | −19.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −3.91 | −26.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.31 | −45.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.03 | +18.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.73 | −28.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.49 | −26.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.42 | −5.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.56 | +21.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.12 | +2.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −2.41 | −26.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −1.73 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hamilton · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.08 |
| M2 | Falkirk · Home12 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | −1.12 |
| M3 | Montrose · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.52 |
| M4 | Queen of the South · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −1.00 |
| M5 | Alloa · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −2.48 |
| M6 | Kelty Hearts · Home16 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | −3.26 |
| M7 | Edinburgh City · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | −4.20 |
| M8 | Stirling · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −4.65 |
| M9 | Annan Athletic · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.04 | −3.61 |
| M10 | Queen of the South · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −1.93 |
| M11 | Hamilton · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +0.09 |
| M12 | Kelty Hearts · Away11 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.60 |
| M13 | Montrose · Home14 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +2.70 |
| M14 | Stirling · Home18 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +3.72 |
| M15 | Annan Athletic · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.02 |
| M16 | Alloa · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +3.11 |
| M17 | Edinburgh City · Home23 Dec 2023 | W 7-2 | 3 | +0.39 | +3.50 |
| M18 | Montrose · Away30 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +2.79 |
| M19 | Kelty Hearts · Home6 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.89 | +1.89 |
| M20 | Falkirk · Away9 Jan 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.57 | +1.33 |
| M21 | Hamilton · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | +0.63 |
| M22 | Queen of the South · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −1.21 |
| M23 | Stirling · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.45 | −1.67 |
| M24 | Alloa · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.94 |
| M25 | Annan Athletic · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | −1.88 |
| M26 | Edinburgh City · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.56 | −1.32 |
| M27 | Falkirk · Home5 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −2.01 |
| M28 | Montrose · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.50 | −3.50 |
| M29 | Kelty Hearts · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −2.03 |
| M30 | Hamilton · Home23 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −2.90 |
| M31 | Stirling · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.48 | −1.43 |
| M32 | Falkirk · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.46 | −1.89 |
| M33 | Annan Athletic · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.36 | −3.25 |
| M34 | Alloa · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.48 | −4.73 |
| M35 | Queen of the South · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.88 |
| M36 | Edinburgh City · Home4 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.64 | −5.24 |
| Total | 49 | −5.24 | |||