Points
14Points expected by the market
19.62Gap
−5.62Yield
−57.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −1.43 | −19.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 32 | 11 | −4.19 | −62.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.33 | +7.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 9 | +0.92 | −19.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.10 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 2 | −5.10 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stirling · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.89 |
| M2 | Queen of the South · Home12 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.97 |
| M3 | Hamilton · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.78 | −2.75 |
| M4 | Annan Athletic · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.84 |
| M5 | Falkirk · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.40 | −4.25 |
| M6 | Montrose · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.75 | −5.00 |
| M7 | Cove Rangers · Home23 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.16 | −4.84 |
| M8 | Alloa · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −4.69 |
| M9 | Kelty Hearts · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.01 | −5.70 |
| M10 | Hamilton · Away21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.65 | −5.05 |
| M11 | Annan Athletic · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.90 | −3.15 |
| M12 | Montrose · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.16 | −4.31 |
| M13 | Falkirk · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.24 | −4.55 |
| M14 | Alloa · Home18 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.04 | −2.51 |
| M15 | Stirling · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.41 | −2.92 |
| M16 | Queen of the South · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.33 | −3.25 |
| M17 | Cove Rangers · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 2-7 | 0 | −0.27 | −3.53 |
| M18 | Hamilton · Home30 Dec 2023 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.16 | −3.69 |
| M19 | Alloa · Away6 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.22 | −3.91 |
| M20 | Falkirk · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.88 | −3.03 |
| M21 | Annan Athletic · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.54 | −3.57 |
| M22 | Kelty Hearts · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −4.08 |
| M23 | Montrose · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.31 | −4.39 |
| M24 | Kelty Hearts · Away13 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.28 | −4.68 |
| M25 | Queen of the South · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.67 | −4.01 |
| M26 | Stirling · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.41 | −4.42 |
| M27 | Cove Rangers · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.41 | −4.82 |
| M28 | Hamilton · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.16 | −4.98 |
| M29 | Alloa · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.40 | −5.38 |
| M30 | Falkirk · Away23 Mar 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.13 | −5.51 |
| M31 | Kelty Hearts · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −6.02 |
| M32 | Queen of the South · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −6.39 |
| M33 | Montrose · Home16 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.49 | −3.90 |
| M34 | Annan Athletic · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −4.56 |
| M35 | Stirling · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −5.13 |
| M36 | Cove Rangers · Away4 May 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −5.62 |
| Total | 14 | −5.62 | |||