Points
90Points expected by the market
81.20Gap
+8.80Yield
+3.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 29 | 73 | +4.20 | −2.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +2.97 | +9.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.63 | +157.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 39 | +2.35 | −1.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.50 | +9.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 34 | +1.85 | −4.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.47 | +9.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.63 | +157.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Annan Athletic · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +0.77 |
| M2 | Cove Rangers · Away12 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.70 | +0.07 |
| M3 | Stirling · Home22 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +1.12 |
| M4 | Alloa · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +2.12 |
| M5 | Edinburgh City · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +2.67 |
| M6 | Queen of the South · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +3.59 |
| M7 | Kelty Hearts · Away23 Sep 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +4.52 |
| M8 | Montrose · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.64 | +5.16 |
| M9 | Hamilton · Home7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | +4.50 |
| M10 | Stirling · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +5.37 |
| M11 | Alloa · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +6.01 |
| M12 | Queen of the South · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | +4.74 |
| M13 | Edinburgh City · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.34 | +5.08 |
| M14 | Montrose · Away28 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.25 | +3.84 |
| M15 | Kelty Hearts · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +4.46 |
| M16 | Hamilton · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +6.09 |
| M17 | Annan Athletic · Away23 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.58 | +6.67 |
| M18 | Stirling · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.46 | +7.13 |
| M19 | Queen of the South · Home6 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +7.65 |
| M20 | Cove Rangers · Home9 Jan 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +8.41 |
| M21 | Edinburgh City · Away13 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.81 | +6.59 |
| M22 | Alloa · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +7.28 |
| M23 | Hamilton · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.11 | +8.39 |
| M24 | Montrose · Home20 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +8.95 |
| M25 | Kelty Hearts · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.61 | +9.56 |
| M26 | Annan Athletic · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.62 | +7.94 |
| M27 | Cove Rangers · Away5 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +8.83 |
| M28 | Stirling · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.69 | +9.52 |
| M29 | Queen of the South · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +10.23 |
| M30 | Edinburgh City · Home23 Mar 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.19 | +10.42 |
| M31 | Montrose · Away30 Mar 2024 | W 7-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +11.16 |
| M32 | Cove Rangers · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +11.79 |
| M33 | Hamilton · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +12.96 |
| M34 | Kelty Hearts · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.50 | +11.46 |
| M35 | Annan Athletic · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.10 | +10.36 |
| M36 | Alloa · Home4 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.56 | +8.80 |
| Total | 90 | +8.80 | |||