Points
74Points expected by the market
70.49Gap
+3.51Yield
−3.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 32 | −5.03 | −26.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 38 | +10.20 | +38.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.13 | −23.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.80 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 28 | −4.05 | −23.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.71 | +99.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.34 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.98 | −48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 32 | +7.49 | +28.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.47 | +15.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.86 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cove Rangers · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +1.34 |
| M2 | Kelty Hearts · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +2.88 |
| M3 | Edinburgh City · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +3.88 |
| M4 | Montrose · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +4.68 |
| M5 | Stirling · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | +3.92 |
| M6 | Alloa · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +4.81 |
| M7 | Queen of the South · Away23 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +6.21 |
| M8 | Annan Athletic · Home29 Sep 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +6.93 |
| M9 | Falkirk · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | +6.86 |
| M10 | Edinburgh City · Home21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.52 | +5.34 |
| M11 | Montrose · Away28 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +6.28 |
| M12 | Cove Rangers · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | +4.50 |
| M13 | Stirling · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +5.21 |
| M14 | Annan Athletic · Away28 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +6.21 |
| M15 | Queen of the South · Home2 Dec 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +6.99 |
| M16 | Alloa · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.21 | +5.78 |
| M17 | Falkirk · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | +4.44 |
| M18 | Kelty Hearts · Home23 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | +3.18 |
| M19 | Edinburgh City · Away30 Dec 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.24 | +3.41 |
| M20 | Cove Rangers · Home13 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +4.32 |
| M21 | Montrose · Home27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.31 | +3.02 |
| M22 | Queen of the South · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +3.99 |
| M23 | Annan Athletic · Home10 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.47 | +1.52 |
| M24 | Falkirk · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.66 |
| M25 | Alloa · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.19 | −1.53 |
| M26 | Stirling · Away27 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.04 | −2.57 |
| M27 | Kelty Hearts · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −1.54 |
| M28 | Edinburgh City · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.23 | −1.30 |
| M29 | Stirling · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.81 | −0.49 |
| M30 | Cove Rangers · Away23 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +0.63 |
| M31 | Queen of the South · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.14 | −0.51 |
| M32 | Annan Athletic · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +0.60 |
| M33 | Falkirk · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.34 |
| M34 | Montrose · Away20 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.89 |
| M35 | Alloa · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +2.13 |
| M36 | Kelty Hearts · Home4 May 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +3.51 |
| Total | 74 | +3.51 | |||