Points
44Points expected by the market
45.63Gap
−1.63Yield
−22.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +1.74 | +22.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.73 | −54.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 23 | −1.45 | −0.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 7 | −0.19 | −63.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.08 | +20.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −2.98 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +0.61 | +4.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | +0.03 | −8.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.67 | +27.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.25 | +82.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −2.06 | −5.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −0.21 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Montrose · Away5 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.83 |
| M2 | Hamilton · Home12 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +0.56 |
| M3 | Alloa · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.14 |
| M4 | Stirling · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.94 |
| M5 | Annan Athletic · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.18 |
| M6 | Cove Rangers · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.22 |
| M7 | Falkirk · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.50 |
| M8 | Queen of the South · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.12 |
| M9 | Edinburgh City · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +2.37 |
| M10 | Alloa · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.99 |
| M11 | Stirling · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +2.52 |
| M12 | Annan Athletic · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | +2.16 |
| M13 | Cove Rangers · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +0.90 |
| M14 | Queen of the South · Away18 Nov 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.75 |
| M15 | Falkirk · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.45 | +2.30 |
| M16 | Montrose · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | +0.74 |
| M17 | Hamilton · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.45 | +1.19 |
| M18 | Cove Rangers · Away6 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.13 | +1.32 |
| M19 | Annan Athletic · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | +0.66 |
| M20 | Stirling · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.32 | −0.67 |
| M21 | Edinburgh City · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.67 | 0.00 |
| M22 | Queen of the South · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.43 |
| M23 | Edinburgh City · Home13 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.39 | −0.04 |
| M24 | Montrose · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.14 |
| M25 | Falkirk · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | −1.59 |
| M26 | Hamilton · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.81 | −2.40 |
| M27 | Alloa · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −3.41 |
| M28 | Cove Rangers · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −4.62 |
| M29 | Alloa · Home19 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | −2.62 |
| M30 | Annan Athletic · Away23 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.77 |
| M31 | Edinburgh City · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.68 | −3.08 |
| M32 | Queen of the South · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −1.18 |
| M33 | Stirling · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.33 |
| M34 | Falkirk · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.96 |
| M35 | Montrose · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.51 |
| M36 | Hamilton · Away4 May 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.63 |
| Total | 44 | −1.63 | |||