Points
53Points expected by the market
45.69Gap
+7.31Yield
+6.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.89 | −43.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +1.71 | +6.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 24 | +7.06 | +50.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 9 | +0.43 | −32.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.44 | +13.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | +0.30 | −6.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.34 | −23.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +0.14 | −38.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.32 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +105.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 21 | +8.40 | +72.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | +0.29 | −27.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kelty Hearts · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −1.57 |
| M2 | Annan Athletic · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.57 | 0.00 |
| M3 | Cove Rangers · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.37 |
| M4 | Hamilton · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −1.98 |
| M5 | Queen of the South · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.13 | +0.16 |
| M6 | Edinburgh City · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.98 | +1.14 |
| M7 | Stirling · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +2.50 |
| M8 | Falkirk · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.47 | +2.03 |
| M9 | Alloa · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.36 |
| M10 | Hamilton · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | +2.63 |
| M11 | Edinburgh City · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +4.04 |
| M12 | Annan Athletic · Home11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | +3.27 |
| M13 | Cove Rangers · Away14 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | +2.41 |
| M14 | Falkirk · Home28 Nov 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.44 | +2.85 |
| M15 | Queen of the South · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.61 | +1.23 |
| M16 | Kelty Hearts · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +3.06 |
| M17 | Alloa · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | +2.99 |
| M18 | Cove Rangers · Home30 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +2.95 |
| M19 | Annan Athletic · Away6 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.51 | +2.44 |
| M20 | Stirling · Home13 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +0.96 |
| M21 | Hamilton · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.49 | +1.45 |
| M22 | Stirling · Away6 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +3.32 |
| M23 | Edinburgh City · Home10 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.44 | +3.76 |
| M24 | Kelty Hearts · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.37 | +5.13 |
| M25 | Falkirk · Away20 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.40 | +4.73 |
| M26 | Queen of the South · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.81 | +6.54 |
| M27 | Alloa · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.52 | +8.05 |
| M28 | Cove Rangers · Away9 Mar 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +9.81 |
| M29 | Annan Athletic · Home16 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +9.03 |
| M30 | Stirling · Away23 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +7.67 |
| M31 | Falkirk · Home30 Mar 2024 | L 1-7 | 0 | −0.55 | +7.12 |
| M32 | Alloa · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +6.90 |
| M33 | Edinburgh City · Away16 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.32 | +4.57 |
| M34 | Hamilton · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +3.58 |
| M35 | Kelty Hearts · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +5.30 |
| M36 | Queen of the South · Home4 May 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.01 | +7.31 |
| Total | 53 | +7.31 | |||