Points
41Points expected by the market
49.52Gap
−8.52Yield
−28.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 10 | +0.32 | −5.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 9 | −7.72 | −41.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −3.06 | −35.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | +1.94 | −14.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +1.87 | +25.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 6 | −7.28 | −50.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 2 | −3.31 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −0.82 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.54 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.44 | −3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 12 | +0.25 | −7.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 7 | +2.76 | +28.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Alloa · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.73 |
| M2 | Edinburgh City · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.40 |
| M3 | Annan Athletic · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +0.49 |
| M4 | Cove Rangers · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.27 |
| M5 | Montrose · Home2 Sep 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.90 | +0.37 |
| M6 | Falkirk · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.34 |
| M7 | Hamilton · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.48 |
| M8 | Kelty Hearts · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −2.84 |
| M9 | Stirling · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −4.43 |
| M10 | Annan Athletic · Away21 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −2.89 |
| M11 | Cove Rangers · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −4.31 |
| M12 | Falkirk · Home4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.45 | −3.85 |
| M13 | Alloa · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −5.13 |
| M14 | Kelty Hearts · Home18 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −6.72 |
| M15 | Hamilton · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.58 | −7.30 |
| M16 | Montrose · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −5.43 |
| M17 | Edinburgh City · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.47 | −4.97 |
| M18 | Stirling · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −5.31 |
| M19 | Annan Athletic · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −4.03 |
| M20 | Falkirk · Away6 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.37 | −4.40 |
| M21 | Alloa · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −4.66 |
| M22 | Cove Rangers · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −2.58 |
| M23 | Hamilton · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.33 |
| M24 | Kelty Hearts · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | −3.63 |
| M25 | Edinburgh City · Away17 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.54 | −5.17 |
| M26 | Montrose · Home24 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −6.71 |
| M27 | Stirling · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | −7.19 |
| M28 | Annan Athletic · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −8.64 |
| M29 | Falkirk · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.52 | −9.16 |
| M30 | Alloa · Away23 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −7.18 |
| M31 | Hamilton · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | −6.82 |
| M32 | Kelty Hearts · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.64 | −8.46 |
| M33 | Edinburgh City · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.50 | −7.96 |
| M34 | Stirling · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −8.17 |
| M35 | Cove Rangers · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −6.76 |
| M36 | Montrose · Away4 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.76 | −8.52 |
| Total | 41 | −8.52 | |||