Points
39Points expected by the market
46.25Gap
−7.25Yield
−40.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +1.87 | +25.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −2.28 | −44.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 19 | −2.87 | −18.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 2 | −3.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.56 | +21.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −2.28 | −44.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.96 | −16.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −0.89 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.31 | +28.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 10 | −3.83 | −20.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −3.07 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Edinburgh City · Home5 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.14 |
| M2 | Alloa · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.88 |
| M3 | Falkirk · Away22 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +2.05 |
| M4 | Kelty Hearts · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +3.51 |
| M5 | Hamilton · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | +3.53 |
| M6 | Annan Athletic · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.48 | +2.05 |
| M7 | Montrose · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.95 |
| M8 | Cove Rangers · Home30 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.68 |
| M9 | Queen of the South · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.53 |
| M10 | Falkirk · Home21 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +1.86 |
| M11 | Kelty Hearts · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.60 |
| M12 | Alloa · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.97 |
| M13 | Hamilton · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.52 | −1.49 |
| M14 | Cove Rangers · Away18 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −2.28 |
| M15 | Edinburgh City · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.56 | −1.72 |
| M16 | Annan Athletic · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −2.34 |
| M17 | Queen of the South · Home23 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −2.73 |
| M18 | Falkirk · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.32 | −3.05 |
| M19 | Montrose · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.29 |
| M20 | Kelty Hearts · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.32 |
| M21 | Cove Rangers · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.04 |
| M22 | Montrose · Home6 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −1.55 |
| M23 | Alloa · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.77 |
| M24 | Annan Athletic · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −4.21 |
| M25 | Edinburgh City · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.56 | −3.65 |
| M26 | Hamilton · Home27 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | −3.39 |
| M27 | Queen of the South · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | −3.62 |
| M28 | Falkirk · Home9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −4.13 |
| M29 | Hamilton · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.61 | −4.74 |
| M30 | Montrose · Home23 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −3.11 |
| M31 | Cove Rangers · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.20 | −4.32 |
| M32 | Alloa · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.34 | −5.66 |
| M33 | Kelty Hearts · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −6.91 |
| M34 | Queen of the South · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −7.43 |
| M35 | Edinburgh City · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.75 | −6.68 |
| M36 | Annan Athletic · Home4 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −7.25 |
| Total | 39 | −7.25 | |||