Points
51Points expected by the market
50.04Gap
+0.96Yield
−8.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 20 | −1.78 | −7.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 24 | +1.60 | −21.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 7 | +1.14 | +26.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 20 | +0.14 | +0.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.81 | −40.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.91 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 19 | +3.41 | −13.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.19 | +52.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Queen of the South · Home3 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | −0.57 |
| M2 | Dumbarton · Away10 Aug 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.99 |
| M3 | Stenhousemuir · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +0.29 |
| M4 | Annan Athletic · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.88 |
| M5 | Arbroath · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | +1.47 |
| M6 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | +1.03 |
| M7 | Kelty Hearts · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +2.35 |
| M8 | Montrose · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +2.03 |
| M9 | Cove Rangers · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.78 | +0.25 |
| M10 | Stenhousemuir · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +1.93 |
| M11 | Arbroath · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | +0.43 |
| M12 | Annan Athletic · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.80 |
| M13 | Queen of the South · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +1.67 |
| M14 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away16 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.64 |
| M15 | Dumbarton · Home3 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.11 |
| M16 | Kelty Hearts · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.80 |
| M17 | Montrose · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | +0.07 |
| M18 | Cove Rangers · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.25 |
| M19 | Stenhousemuir · Home28 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.58 | −2.84 |
| M20 | Arbroath · Away4 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.00 | −0.84 |
| M21 | Queen of the South · Home11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −1.39 |
| M22 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.54 |
| M23 | Dumbarton · Away1 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −2.79 |
| M24 | Montrose · Away8 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | −3.10 |
| M25 | Kelty Hearts · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.67 |
| M26 | Annan Athletic · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.02 |
| M27 | Cove Rangers · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.83 |
| M28 | Arbroath · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +0.78 |
| M29 | Queen of the South · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.14 |
| M30 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away22 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.01 |
| M31 | Dumbarton · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.79 | −1.80 |
| M32 | Stenhousemuir · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +0.21 |
| M33 | Annan Athletic · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.54 |
| M34 | Cove Rangers · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | +1.47 |
| M35 | Montrose · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.87 |
| M36 | Kelty Hearts · Away3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +0.96 |
| Total | 51 | +0.96 | |||