Points
36Points expected by the market
42.27Gap
−6.27Yield
−14.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.20 | +0.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 26 | −5.02 | −22.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −1.05 | +6.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.37 | +101.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 19 | −0.45 | −11.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 7 | −4.57 | −39.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +0.91 | +37.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cove Rangers · Away3 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.80 |
| M2 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +3.39 |
| M3 | Queen of the South · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +2.08 |
| M4 | Alloa · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.76 |
| M5 | Stenhousemuir · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.26 | −0.51 |
| M6 | Dumbarton · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.90 |
| M7 | Arbroath · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −2.10 |
| M8 | Kelty Hearts · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.18 |
| M9 | Montrose · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −1.62 |
| M10 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −2.44 |
| M11 | Queen of the South · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −0.68 |
| M12 | Alloa · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.77 |
| M13 | Stenhousemuir · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −1.99 |
| M14 | Kelty Hearts · Home16 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −3.31 |
| M15 | Montrose · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −4.45 |
| M16 | Cove Rangers · Home7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −4.86 |
| M17 | Dumbarton · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −3.00 |
| M18 | Arbroath · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.14 |
| M19 | Queen of the South · Away28 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −4.21 |
| M20 | Stenhousemuir · Away4 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −4.11 |
| M21 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −5.07 |
| M22 | Montrose · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −5.44 |
| M23 | Kelty Hearts · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.07 | −3.38 |
| M24 | Dumbarton · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −2.01 |
| M25 | Cove Rangers · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.91 |
| M26 | Alloa · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.41 | −4.32 |
| M27 | Arbroath · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −5.13 |
| M28 | Stenhousemuir · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −6.13 |
| M29 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.27 | −3.86 |
| M30 | Montrose · Away22 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −4.84 |
| M31 | Kelty Hearts · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −3.24 |
| M32 | Queen of the South · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −4.31 |
| M33 | Alloa · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.38 |
| M34 | Arbroath · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −3.57 |
| M35 | Dumbarton · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −5.13 |
| M36 | Cove Rangers · Home3 May 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.27 |
| Total | 36 | −6.27 | |||