Points
64Points expected by the market
56.08Gap
+7.92Yield
+15.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.27 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 21 | 42 | +6.19 | +17.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 21 | +4.04 | +30.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.04 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.27 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 29 | +5.04 | +21.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.93 | +71.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +1.15 | +9.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +1.10 | +18.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.04 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stenhousemuir · Away3 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.39 |
| M2 | Montrose · Home10 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −1.92 |
| M3 | Kelty Hearts · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.64 | −3.57 |
| M4 | Dumbarton · Away24 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | −3.65 |
| M5 | Alloa · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −3.97 |
| M6 | Queen of the South · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −5.20 |
| M7 | Annan Athletic · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −3.74 |
| M8 | Cove Rangers · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.65 | −2.09 |
| M9 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −0.45 |
| M10 | Dumbarton · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.66 | −2.11 |
| M11 | Alloa · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.34 |
| M12 | Stenhousemuir · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +0.94 |
| M13 | Montrose · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +0.42 |
| M14 | Cove Rangers · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.74 |
| M15 | Queen of the South · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.06 |
| M16 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +4.95 |
| M17 | Kelty Hearts · Away17 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.48 | +3.46 |
| M18 | Annan Athletic · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +4.87 |
| M19 | Montrose · Home28 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +6.05 |
| M20 | Alloa · Home4 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.73 | +4.31 |
| M21 | Cove Rangers · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +2.98 |
| M22 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +4.60 |
| M23 | Queen of the South · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +6.42 |
| M24 | Stenhousemuir · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +4.87 |
| M25 | Kelty Hearts · Home25 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +6.02 |
| M26 | Annan Athletic · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +7.07 |
| M27 | Dumbarton · Away4 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +8.02 |
| M28 | Alloa · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.33 | +9.35 |
| M29 | Dumbarton · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.27 | +8.08 |
| M30 | Kelty Hearts · Away22 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +7.24 |
| M31 | Cove Rangers · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +8.65 |
| M32 | Montrose · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +10.04 |
| M33 | Stenhousemuir · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +11.23 |
| M34 | Annan Athletic · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.54 | +9.69 |
| M35 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | +8.65 |
| M36 | Queen of the South · Home3 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | +7.92 |
| Total | 64 | +7.92 | |||