Points
57Points expected by the market
51.46Gap
+5.54Yield
+12.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 24 | −1.01 | −23.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 26 | +4.47 | +29.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.08 | +66.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −2.94 | −46.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +1.62 | +21.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.93 | +21.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.86 | +38.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.08 | +66.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Annan Athletic · Home3 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.55 |
| M2 | Queen of the South · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.61 |
| M3 | Dumbarton · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −3.03 |
| M4 | Stenhousemuir · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −4.35 |
| M5 | Montrose · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −2.72 |
| M6 | Kelty Hearts · Away14 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.95 |
| M7 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.92 |
| M8 | Arbroath · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.30 |
| M9 | Alloa · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.03 | −0.27 |
| M10 | Queen of the South · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.24 |
| M11 | Montrose · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +2.89 |
| M12 | Dumbarton · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +4.59 |
| M13 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +3.14 |
| M14 | Arbroath · Away16 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +2.10 |
| M15 | Stenhousemuir · Home3 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.56 | +0.54 |
| M16 | Annan Athletic · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.21 |
| M17 | Kelty Hearts · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.32 |
| M18 | Alloa · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.28 |
| M19 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away28 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.12 | +3.40 |
| M20 | Queen of the South · Away4 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +2.14 |
| M21 | Stenhousemuir · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.91 |
| M22 | Arbroath · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +5.52 |
| M23 | Montrose · Home11 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +4.88 |
| M24 | Annan Athletic · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +6.03 |
| M25 | Dumbarton · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +7.15 |
| M26 | Alloa · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +5.60 |
| M27 | Queen of the South · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +6.91 |
| M28 | Kelty Hearts · Away11 Mar 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +8.33 |
| M29 | Montrose · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | +7.68 |
| M30 | Stenhousemuir · Home22 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | +7.02 |
| M31 | Arbroath · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +5.88 |
| M32 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.48 | +4.41 |
| M33 | Dumbarton · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +5.73 |
| M34 | Alloa · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | +5.06 |
| M35 | Kelty Hearts · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.90 | +4.16 |
| M36 | Annan Athletic · Away3 May 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.39 | +5.54 |
| Total | 57 | +5.54 | |||