Points
35Points expected by the market
43.33Gap
−8.33Yield
−33.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 2 | −6.39 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 24 | −1.33 | −17.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 9 | −0.61 | −32.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 2 | −6.39 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +0.65 | +0.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −1.98 | −34.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 8 | +0.96 | −7.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away3 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| M2 | Alloa · Home10 Aug 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.30 |
| M3 | Cove Rangers · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.62 |
| M4 | Arbroath · Home24 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | −1.28 |
| M5 | Kelty Hearts · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.92 |
| M6 | Annan Athletic · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −2.27 |
| M7 | Montrose · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.71 | −3.97 |
| M8 | Queen of the South · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −5.20 |
| M9 | Stenhousemuir · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.78 | −6.98 |
| M10 | Arbroath · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −5.06 |
| M11 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.58 | −3.48 |
| M12 | Cove Rangers · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −4.92 |
| M13 | Kelty Hearts · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −6.26 |
| M14 | Queen of the South · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −4.76 |
| M15 | Alloa · Away3 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | −4.96 |
| M16 | Stenhousemuir · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.16 | −6.13 |
| M17 | Annan Athletic · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.60 | −7.73 |
| M18 | Montrose · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −5.85 |
| M19 | Kelty Hearts · Home28 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −4.23 |
| M20 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away4 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −5.10 |
| M21 | Queen of the South · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −6.09 |
| M22 | Alloa · Home1 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −6.58 |
| M23 | Annan Athletic · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −7.69 |
| M24 | Montrose · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −9.10 |
| M25 | Cove Rangers · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −9.97 |
| M26 | Stenhousemuir · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −11.11 |
| M27 | Arbroath · Home4 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −11.84 |
| M28 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −12.75 |
| M29 | Arbroath · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.45 | −12.30 |
| M30 | Queen of the South · Home22 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | −12.22 |
| M31 | Alloa · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.03 | −10.19 |
| M32 | Kelty Hearts · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.96 | −8.23 |
| M33 | Cove Rangers · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −9.31 |
| M34 | Montrose · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | −9.38 |
| M35 | Annan Athletic · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −7.57 |
| M36 | Stenhousemuir · Away3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −8.33 |
| Total | 35 | −8.33 | |||