Points
58Points expected by the market
58.36Gap
−0.36Yield
−6.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 25 | 44 | +0.15 | −7.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | −0.51 | −3.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 28 | −4.33 | −26.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +4.47 | +39.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | −0.51 | −3.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dumbarton · Home3 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | −0.75 |
| M2 | Annan Athletic · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −2.07 |
| M3 | Montrose · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −2.69 |
| M4 | Kelty Hearts · Away24 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −2.96 |
| M5 | Queen of the South · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −1.71 |
| M6 | Alloa · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.97 |
| M7 | Cove Rangers · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −2.73 |
| M8 | Stenhousemuir · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.95 | −3.68 |
| M9 | Arbroath · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −5.03 |
| M10 | Annan Athletic · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −3.95 |
| M11 | Dumbarton · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −5.27 |
| M12 | Kelty Hearts · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −6.05 |
| M13 | Cove Rangers · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −4.31 |
| M14 | Alloa · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −3.01 |
| M15 | Montrose · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.48 | −1.53 |
| M16 | Arbroath · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.59 | −3.12 |
| M17 | Stenhousemuir · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −1.46 |
| M18 | Cove Rangers · Home28 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.86 | −3.32 |
| M19 | Dumbarton · Home4 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −2.20 |
| M20 | Annan Athletic · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −0.99 |
| M21 | Queen of the South · Away21 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.53 |
| M22 | Alloa · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.10 |
| M23 | Queen of the South · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.29 |
| M24 | Arbroath · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.04 |
| M25 | Kelty Hearts · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.37 |
| M26 | Montrose · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −0.51 |
| M27 | Dumbarton · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.65 |
| M28 | Stenhousemuir · Home11 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +2.05 |
| M29 | Annan Athletic · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.05 | 0.00 |
| M30 | Alloa · Home22 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.87 | −0.87 |
| M31 | Queen of the South · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.31 | −2.18 |
| M32 | Cove Rangers · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −0.43 |
| M33 | Kelty Hearts · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.04 | −2.46 |
| M34 | Stenhousemuir · Away19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −3.01 |
| M35 | Arbroath · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −1.70 |
| M36 | Montrose · Away3 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.36 |
| Total | 58 | −0.36 | |||