Points
40Points expected by the market
45.22Gap
−5.22Yield
−29.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.32 | −20.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 22 | −9.06 | −57.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 10 | +4.17 | +81.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.32 | −20.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 11 | −5.75 | −64.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −3.31 | −49.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 10 | +4.17 | +81.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kelty Hearts · Home3 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | −0.71 |
| M2 | Arbroath · Away10 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.91 |
| M3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −1.01 |
| M4 | Queen of the South · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.50 |
| M5 | Cove Rangers · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.85 |
| M6 | Stenhousemuir · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.67 |
| M7 | Dumbarton · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +2.63 |
| M8 | Alloa · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +2.24 |
| M9 | Annan Athletic · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.95 |
| M10 | Kelty Hearts · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.93 | +2.88 |
| M11 | Cove Rangers · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +1.52 |
| M12 | Queen of the South · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.44 |
| M13 | Arbroath · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.24 |
| M14 | Stenhousemuir · Away16 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −0.95 |
| M15 | Annan Athletic · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.47 |
| M16 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.71 |
| M17 | Alloa · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +1.28 |
| M18 | Dumbarton · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.62 | −0.34 |
| M19 | Arbroath · Away28 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −1.26 |
| M20 | Kelty Hearts · Home4 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −1.67 |
| M21 | Annan Athletic · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −2.01 |
| M22 | Stenhousemuir · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −3.41 |
| M23 | Alloa · Home8 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | −3.80 |
| M24 | Cove Rangers · Away11 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −3.90 |
| M25 | Dumbarton · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.68 | −2.21 |
| M26 | Queen of the South · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −3.40 |
| M27 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | −3.24 |
| M28 | Kelty Hearts · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −3.37 |
| M29 | Cove Rangers · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | −3.45 |
| M30 | Annan Athletic · Home22 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −2.19 |
| M31 | Stenhousemuir · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.96 | −0.23 |
| M32 | Arbroath · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.34 |
| M33 | Queen of the South · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.33 |
| M34 | Dumbarton · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | −3.00 |
| M35 | Alloa · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −4.14 |
| M36 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home3 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.22 |
| Total | 40 | −5.22 | |||