Points
55Points expected by the market
51.74Gap
+3.26Yield
−2.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 27 | +3.10 | +8.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 27 | +3.24 | +10.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −3.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 20 | +1.31 | +2.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 21 | +11.27 | +152.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.79 | +28.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 6 | −8.03 | −79.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −3.07 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Alloa · Away3 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.17 |
| M2 | Cove Rangers · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.16 |
| M3 | Annan Athletic · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.75 |
| M4 | Montrose · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | +1.52 |
| M5 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | +0.53 |
| M6 | Arbroath · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.04 |
| M7 | Stenhousemuir · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | +1.82 |
| M8 | Dumbarton · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.32 |
| M9 | Kelty Hearts · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.62 | +1.70 |
| M10 | Cove Rangers · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.47 |
| M11 | Annan Athletic · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.01 |
| M12 | Montrose · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.35 |
| M13 | Alloa · Home9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.23 |
| M14 | Dumbarton · Away16 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.46 |
| M15 | Arbroath · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −2.50 |
| M16 | Stenhousemuir · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −0.80 |
| M17 | Kelty Hearts · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.05 |
| M18 | Annan Athletic · Home28 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −2.73 |
| M19 | Cove Rangers · Home4 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.18 |
| M20 | Alloa · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.35 |
| M21 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home21 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.84 | +0.49 |
| M22 | Dumbarton · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +1.75 |
| M23 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.64 |
| M24 | Stenhousemuir · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.78 |
| M25 | Arbroath · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.32 |
| M26 | Montrose · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.85 |
| M27 | Kelty Hearts · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.87 | −2.72 |
| M28 | Cove Rangers · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.76 |
| M29 | Alloa · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.18 | −2.58 |
| M30 | Dumbarton · Away22 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.81 | −3.39 |
| M31 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −1.80 |
| M32 | Annan Athletic · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −0.47 |
| M33 | Montrose · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.79 |
| M34 | Kelty Hearts · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.06 |
| M35 | Stenhousemuir · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +3.26 |
| M36 | Arbroath · Away3 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +3.26 |
| Total | 55 | +3.26 | |||