Points
53Points expected by the market
48.90Gap
+4.10Yield
+5.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | −0.04 | −5.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 35 | +5.82 | +20.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.67 | −35.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.70 | −39.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 23 | +6.33 | +46.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.66 | +96.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −0.51 | −11.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.67 | −35.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Arbroath · Home3 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.66 |
| M2 | Kelty Hearts · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +0.44 |
| M3 | Alloa · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.58 |
| M4 | Cove Rangers · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.02 |
| M5 | Annan Athletic · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +2.55 |
| M6 | Montrose · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.31 |
| M7 | Queen of the South · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.51 | +0.81 |
| M8 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | +1.00 |
| M9 | Dumbarton · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +3.03 |
| M10 | Alloa · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | +1.63 |
| M11 | Kelty Hearts · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +3.10 |
| M12 | Arbroath · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.10 |
| M13 | Annan Athletic · Away9 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +1.58 |
| M14 | Montrose · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +3.06 |
| M15 | Cove Rangers · Away3 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +4.89 |
| M16 | Dumbarton · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +6.32 |
| M17 | Queen of the South · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | +4.92 |
| M18 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | +3.55 |
| M19 | Alloa · Away28 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +5.40 |
| M20 | Annan Athletic · Home4 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +4.57 |
| M21 | Kelty Hearts · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | +4.25 |
| M22 | Cove Rangers · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.49 | +2.75 |
| M23 | Montrose · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +4.44 |
| M24 | Queen of the South · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +6.14 |
| M25 | Arbroath · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +7.96 |
| M26 | Dumbarton · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +9.35 |
| M27 | Annan Athletic · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +10.62 |
| M28 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away11 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.10 | +9.52 |
| M29 | Kelty Hearts · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | +8.68 |
| M30 | Cove Rangers · Away22 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +8.60 |
| M31 | Montrose · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.68 | +6.92 |
| M32 | Alloa · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.75 | +5.17 |
| M33 | Arbroath · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.93 | +4.25 |
| M34 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home19 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +4.08 |
| M35 | Queen of the South · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +3.13 |
| M36 | Dumbarton · Home3 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +4.10 |
| Total | 53 | +4.10 | |||