Points
53Points expected by the market
52.04Gap
+0.96Yield
−10.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 34 | +2.03 | −1.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | −0.06 | +4.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 24 | +0.20 | −9.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.37 | +53.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | +0.34 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.83 | +20.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −1.42 | −4.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.34 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stenhousemuir · Away2 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.49 |
| M2 | East Fife · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.03 |
| M3 | Hamilton · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +4.89 |
| M4 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.64 | +4.25 |
| M5 | Montrose · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | +2.70 |
| M6 | Cove Rangers · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +4.13 |
| M7 | Peterhead · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +2.92 |
| M8 | Queen of the South · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +1.67 |
| M9 | Kelty Hearts · Away7 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +2.91 |
| M10 | East Fife · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +2.34 |
| M11 | Stenhousemuir · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | +1.85 |
| M12 | Kelty Hearts · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +2.88 |
| M13 | Montrose · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +4.48 |
| M14 | Cove Rangers · Away22 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | +4.05 |
| M15 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home25 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +4.15 |
| M16 | Peterhead · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +5.44 |
| M17 | Queen of the South · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.71 | +3.73 |
| M18 | Hamilton · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +2.42 |
| M19 | Stenhousemuir · Home27 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | +1.83 |
| M20 | Kelty Hearts · Away3 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | +1.03 |
| M21 | Montrose · Home20 Jan 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +2.31 |
| M22 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.71 | +1.60 |
| M23 | Cove Rangers · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | +0.95 |
| M24 | Queen of the South · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +2.91 |
| M25 | Hamilton · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +4.17 |
| M26 | East Fife · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +5.58 |
| M27 | Kelty Hearts · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +6.74 |
| M28 | Peterhead · Away10 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +5.42 |
| M29 | Montrose · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 4-5 | 0 | −1.52 | +3.90 |
| M30 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | +4.13 |
| M31 | Peterhead · Home28 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | +2.36 |
| M32 | Cove Rangers · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +3.95 |
| M33 | Hamilton · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +2.49 |
| M34 | East Fife · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +3.71 |
| M35 | Stenhousemuir · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | +2.59 |
| M36 | Queen of the South · Home2 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.62 | +0.96 |
| Total | 53 | +0.96 | |||