Points
38Points expected by the market
45.80Gap
−7.80Yield
−31.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −0.42 | −21.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 19 | −6.65 | −28.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | −0.74 | −47.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −1.85 | −39.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 5 | −5.54 | −57.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.31 | +39.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.43 | +110.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −1.11 | −9.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.04 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Queen of the South · Home2 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.35 |
| M2 | Stenhousemuir · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −2.75 |
| M3 | Montrose · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.63 | −3.38 |
| M4 | Peterhead · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −4.72 |
| M5 | Hamilton · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | −4.72 |
| M6 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −5.60 |
| M7 | Alloa · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −6.74 |
| M8 | Kelty Hearts · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.03 | −8.77 |
| M9 | East Fife · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −9.84 |
| M10 | Stenhousemuir · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −11.20 |
| M11 | Montrose · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −9.28 |
| M12 | Peterhead · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −10.65 |
| M13 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | −11.19 |
| M14 | Hamilton · Home15 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | −9.09 |
| M15 | Alloa · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −9.38 |
| M16 | Queen of the South · Away6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −9.43 |
| M17 | East Fife · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −10.91 |
| M18 | Kelty Hearts · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.43 | −9.47 |
| M19 | Peterhead · Away27 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −7.72 |
| M20 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | −7.63 |
| M21 | Hamilton · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −9.05 |
| M22 | Alloa · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | −9.13 |
| M23 | Queen of the South · Home7 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −9.46 |
| M24 | East Fife · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −10.94 |
| M25 | Montrose · Home17 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −9.56 |
| M26 | Kelty Hearts · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.82 | −10.38 |
| M27 | Stenhousemuir · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −11.42 |
| M28 | Peterhead · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −9.93 |
| M29 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.47 | −9.46 |
| M30 | Hamilton · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | −10.16 |
| M31 | Alloa · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −11.49 |
| M32 | Montrose · Away7 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | −9.86 |
| M33 | Queen of the South · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −10.79 |
| M34 | Stenhousemuir · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −8.84 |
| M35 | Kelty Hearts · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −7.27 |
| M36 | East Fife · Home2 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −7.80 |
| Total | 38 | −7.80 | |||