Points
36Points expected by the market
44.35Gap
−8.35Yield
−36.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +2.47 | +18.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 14 | −8.89 | −55.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −1.93 | −48.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +1.29 | +11.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.43 | −34.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.30 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.18 | +72.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 7 | −5.45 | −72.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.63 | −25.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Peterhead · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.17 |
| M2 | Alloa · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.44 |
| M3 | Hamilton · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.25 | −0.20 |
| M4 | Kelty Hearts · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.17 | +0.97 |
| M5 | Stenhousemuir · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.65 |
| M6 | Queen of the South · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +2.29 |
| M7 | Montrose · Home20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | +1.67 |
| M8 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.69 | +0.98 |
| M9 | Cove Rangers · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +2.32 |
| M10 | Alloa · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +2.16 |
| M11 | Kelty Hearts · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +3.33 |
| M12 | Hamilton · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +3.01 |
| M13 | Queen of the South · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.26 | +1.75 |
| M14 | Stenhousemuir · Home15 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.16 |
| M15 | Montrose · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +1.67 |
| M16 | Cove Rangers · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.42 |
| M17 | Peterhead · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | +1.86 |
| M18 | Kelty Hearts · Home27 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | −0.03 |
| M19 | Stenhousemuir · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.97 | −1.00 |
| M20 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home20 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.71 |
| M21 | Queen of the South · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.11 | −2.82 |
| M22 | Montrose · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −4.32 |
| M23 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.47 | −4.79 |
| M24 | Cove Rangers · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −3.03 |
| M25 | Hamilton · Away17 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −4.29 |
| M26 | Peterhead · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.01 | −5.30 |
| M27 | Alloa · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −6.43 |
| M28 | Hamilton · Home7 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.50 | −7.93 |
| M29 | Kelty Hearts · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −8.12 |
| M30 | Queen of the South · Away21 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.22 | −7.90 |
| M31 | Stenhousemuir · Home28 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.09 | −7.81 |
| M32 | Montrose · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −8.98 |
| M33 | Peterhead · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −7.53 |
| M34 | Alloa · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −8.48 |
| M35 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.32 | −8.16 |
| M36 | Cove Rangers · Away2 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −8.35 |
| Total | 36 | −8.35 | |||