Points
55Points expected by the market
51.02Gap
+3.98Yield
+5.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.71 | +29.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 20 | −3.25 | −17.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 29 | +8.44 | +36.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −1.91 | −34.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.71 | +29.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.28 | −22.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 15 | +6.17 | +91.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.66 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.97 | −8.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +2.27 | −5.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.25 | −20.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Montrose · Home2 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.33 |
| M2 | Queen of the South · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.18 |
| M3 | East Fife · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.01 | +1.17 |
| M4 | Alloa · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −0.42 |
| M5 | Cove Rangers · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −1.16 |
| M6 | Peterhead · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −1.65 |
| M7 | Kelty Hearts · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −0.66 |
| M8 | Stenhousemuir · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +0.59 |
| M9 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +2.55 |
| M10 | Montrose · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +4.02 |
| M11 | Queen of the South · Home24 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.02 | +1.99 |
| M12 | East Fife · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +1.58 |
| M13 | Peterhead · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.72 |
| M14 | Cove Rangers · Away15 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | +0.88 |
| M15 | Kelty Hearts · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +1.59 |
| M16 | Stenhousemuir · Away6 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | +1.11 |
| M17 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.73 | +0.37 |
| M18 | Alloa · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.96 |
| M19 | Queen of the South · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.79 |
| M20 | Peterhead · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.06 | +2.85 |
| M21 | Cove Rangers · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +4.53 |
| M22 | Kelty Hearts · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +4.08 |
| M23 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.66 | +3.42 |
| M24 | East Fife · Home17 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +4.95 |
| M25 | Alloa · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.99 | +3.96 |
| M26 | Montrose · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | +3.43 |
| M27 | Stenhousemuir · Home3 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | +2.26 |
| M28 | East Fife · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +4.03 |
| M29 | Queen of the South · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +2.88 |
| M30 | Cove Rangers · Away21 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | +2.85 |
| M31 | Kelty Hearts · Home28 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.79 | +1.06 |
| M32 | Stenhousemuir · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.09 |
| M33 | Alloa · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.82 |
| M34 | Montrose · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | +3.51 |
| M35 | Peterhead · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.09 | +4.60 |
| M36 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away2 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | +3.98 |
| Total | 55 | +3.98 | |||