Points
74Points expected by the market
74.26Gap
−0.26Yield
−14.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 22 | 48 | −0.55 | −14.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 26 | +0.29 | −15.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 37 | +1.21 | −8.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.03 | +55.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 11 | −1.76 | −29.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 20 | −1.74 | −27.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kelty Hearts · Away2 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +1.11 |
| M2 | Peterhead · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +2.16 |
| M3 | Stenhousemuir · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.15 | +0.01 |
| M4 | Montrose · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +1.22 |
| M5 | Alloa · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.05 |
| M6 | Cove Rangers · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +3.19 |
| M7 | Queen of the South · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +4.42 |
| M8 | East Fife · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.90 | +5.32 |
| M9 | Hamilton · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.69 | +3.63 |
| M10 | Kelty Hearts · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.52 | +2.11 |
| M11 | Peterhead · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +3.37 |
| M12 | Montrose · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +4.13 |
| M13 | Cove Rangers · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +4.87 |
| M14 | Queen of the South · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +5.76 |
| M15 | Alloa · Away25 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +4.92 |
| M16 | Hamilton · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +5.89 |
| M17 | Stenhousemuir · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.85 | +4.04 |
| M18 | Montrose · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.08 | +1.97 |
| M19 | Cove Rangers · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | +1.14 |
| M20 | East Fife · Away20 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +2.08 |
| M21 | Alloa · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +3.02 |
| M22 | Queen of the South · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | +2.22 |
| M23 | East Fife · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +2.86 |
| M24 | Hamilton · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +3.74 |
| M25 | Stenhousemuir · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.17 | +2.57 |
| M26 | Kelty Hearts · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.17 | +1.40 |
| M27 | Montrose · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.63 | +2.04 |
| M28 | Cove Rangers · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.28 | +0.76 |
| M29 | Peterhead · Home17 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +1.47 |
| M30 | Alloa · Away21 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +0.46 |
| M31 | Queen of the South · Home27 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.12 | −0.66 |
| M32 | Stenhousemuir · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −1.31 |
| M33 | Peterhead · Away14 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.76 | −0.55 |
| M34 | Kelty Hearts · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.56 | +0.01 |
| M35 | East Fife · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −1.09 |
| M36 | Hamilton · Home2 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | −0.26 |
| Total | 74 | −0.26 | |||