Points
29Points expected by the market
33.23Gap
−4.23Yield
−32.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.52 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 6 | −3.72 | −66.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | 22 | +0.02 | −19.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.52 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −3.65 | −62.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −4.87 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.08 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 18 | +4.89 | +27.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home2 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.85 |
| M2 | Montrose · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +1.22 |
| M3 | East Fife · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +0.31 |
| M4 | Queen of the South · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −0.39 |
| M5 | Stenhousemuir · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.51 |
| M6 | Hamilton · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −2.27 |
| M7 | Cove Rangers · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.26 | −0.01 |
| M8 | Peterhead · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −0.97 |
| M9 | Alloa · Home7 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −1.96 |
| M10 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.65 | −1.30 |
| M11 | East Fife · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −2.23 |
| M12 | Alloa · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.79 | −3.02 |
| M13 | Stenhousemuir · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.26 | −2.75 |
| M14 | Queen of the South · Home15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −2.70 |
| M15 | Hamilton · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.53 | −3.23 |
| M16 | Montrose · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −4.51 |
| M17 | Peterhead · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −5.50 |
| M18 | Cove Rangers · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.15 | −6.64 |
| M19 | East Fife · Away27 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −4.50 |
| M20 | Alloa · Home3 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −4.44 |
| M21 | Queen of the South · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | −5.20 |
| M22 | Stenhousemuir · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −6.19 |
| M23 | Hamilton · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −6.46 |
| M24 | Peterhead · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −6.71 |
| M25 | Cove Rangers · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −6.63 |
| M26 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.38 | −6.25 |
| M27 | Montrose · Away3 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −6.32 |
| M28 | Alloa · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −7.22 |
| M29 | East Fife · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −7.74 |
| M30 | Stenhousemuir · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −8.49 |
| M31 | Hamilton · Away28 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | −6.44 |
| M32 | Queen of the South · Home4 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −6.33 |
| M33 | Montrose · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −4.62 |
| M34 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.40 | −5.01 |
| M35 | Cove Rangers · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −6.30 |
| M36 | Peterhead · Away2 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −4.23 |
| Total | 29 | −4.23 | |||