Points
42Points expected by the market
42.35Gap
−0.35Yield
−10.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.19 | −15.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 29 | +2.99 | +7.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −2.16 | −43.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.19 | −15.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +3.06 | +42.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.59 | +88.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −0.06 | −25.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −2.75 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hamilton · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −1.06 |
| M2 | Kelty Hearts · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −2.88 |
| M3 | Cove Rangers · Away16 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.09 | −2.97 |
| M4 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −3.91 |
| M5 | Peterhead · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −2.42 |
| M6 | Alloa · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −0.60 |
| M7 | East Fife · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.71 |
| M8 | Queen of the South · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.86 |
| M9 | Stenhousemuir · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −0.24 |
| M10 | Hamilton · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.43 |
| M11 | Cove Rangers · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.64 | −3.07 |
| M12 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | −3.64 |
| M13 | Alloa · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.31 | −4.95 |
| M14 | Peterhead · Away15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −4.90 |
| M15 | East Fife · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | −3.14 |
| M16 | Kelty Hearts · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.57 |
| M17 | Stenhousemuir · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.17 |
| M18 | Queen of the South · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.87 |
| M19 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.30 | +1.43 |
| M20 | Alloa · Away20 Jan 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.00 | +0.43 |
| M21 | East Fife · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.20 |
| M22 | Peterhead · Home10 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +1.73 |
| M23 | Stenhousemuir · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | +1.83 |
| M24 | Cove Rangers · Away17 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.72 |
| M25 | Queen of the South · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.97 | +2.69 |
| M26 | Hamilton · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | +2.48 |
| M27 | Kelty Hearts · Home3 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +1.83 |
| M28 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.46 | +1.37 |
| M29 | Alloa · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 5-4 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.16 |
| M30 | Peterhead · Away21 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | +3.06 |
| M31 | East Fife · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +4.48 |
| M32 | Cove Rangers · Home7 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.37 | +3.12 |
| M33 | Kelty Hearts · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.44 | +1.68 |
| M34 | Hamilton · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | +0.24 |
| M35 | Queen of the South · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.41 |
| M36 | Stenhousemuir · Home2 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −0.35 |
| Total | 42 | −0.35 | |||