Points
43Points expected by the market
45.78Gap
−2.78Yield
−16.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 20 | +1.49 | +7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 16 | −2.90 | −30.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 7 | −1.37 | −19.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | +0.27 | 0.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.17 | −19.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.22 | +77.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.07 | −38.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | +0.20 | +0.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | East Fife · Home2 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.44 |
| M2 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.63 |
| M3 | Queen of the South · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.42 |
| M4 | Cove Rangers · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.20 |
| M5 | Montrose · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −0.02 |
| M6 | Hamilton · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.26 |
| M7 | Stenhousemuir · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.43 |
| M8 | Alloa · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.05 |
| M9 | Kelty Hearts · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +1.27 |
| M10 | Queen of the South · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.71 |
| M11 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | +1.70 |
| M12 | Cove Rangers · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +3.35 |
| M13 | Hamilton · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +2.46 |
| M14 | Montrose · Home15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +1.66 |
| M15 | Stenhousemuir · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.55 | +0.11 |
| M16 | Alloa · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.91 |
| M17 | Kelty Hearts · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.25 | +0.34 |
| M18 | East Fife · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +2.17 |
| M19 | Cove Rangers · Home27 Dec 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.48 | +0.69 |
| M20 | Hamilton · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.80 | −1.11 |
| M21 | Stenhousemuir · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | −0.97 |
| M22 | Montrose · Away10 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.23 |
| M23 | Kelty Hearts · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −1.69 |
| M24 | East Fife · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −0.41 |
| M25 | Queen of the South · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +1.72 |
| M26 | Cove Rangers · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +0.51 |
| M27 | Alloa · Home10 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +2.11 |
| M28 | Stenhousemuir · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | +0.84 |
| M29 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away17 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.52 | +0.32 |
| M30 | Montrose · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.32 |
| M31 | Alloa · Away28 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | +1.71 |
| M32 | East Fife · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.52 |
| M33 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home14 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.05 |
| M34 | Queen of the South · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.10 |
| M35 | Hamilton · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.96 |
| M36 | Kelty Hearts · Home2 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −2.78 |
| Total | 43 | −2.78 | |||