Points
54Points expected by the market
53.45Gap
+0.55Yield
−7.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.92 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 29 | −3.85 | −30.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +0.50 | +0.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +2.98 | +45.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.92 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 19 | −2.08 | −24.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.58 | +48.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.91 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −1.77 | −42.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.08 | −19.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 7 | +3.89 | +118.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cove Rangers · Away2 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.63 |
| M2 | Hamilton · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.57 | +0.05 |
| M3 | Peterhead · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.36 |
| M4 | Stenhousemuir · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +0.83 |
| M5 | Kelty Hearts · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +1.75 |
| M6 | East Fife · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.37 |
| M7 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.60 |
| M8 | Montrose · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.90 |
| M9 | Alloa · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −0.38 |
| M10 | Peterhead · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.56 |
| M11 | Hamilton · Away24 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.25 | +0.69 |
| M12 | Stenhousemuir · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +0.23 |
| M13 | East Fife · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.75 |
| M14 | Kelty Hearts · Away15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | +0.96 |
| M15 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.67 | +0.29 |
| M16 | Cove Rangers · Home6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.39 |
| M17 | Alloa · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +1.59 |
| M18 | Montrose · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +2.89 |
| M19 | Hamilton · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +4.33 |
| M20 | Stenhousemuir · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +2.99 |
| M21 | Kelty Hearts · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +3.98 |
| M22 | East Fife · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +5.36 |
| M23 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | +5.42 |
| M24 | Cove Rangers · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +5.03 |
| M25 | Alloa · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +3.33 |
| M26 | Montrose · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.71 | +1.63 |
| M27 | Peterhead · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.88 | −0.26 |
| M28 | Stenhousemuir · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.80 |
| M29 | Hamilton · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +0.61 |
| M30 | East Fife · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | −0.37 |
| M31 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away27 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.33 | −0.04 |
| M32 | Kelty Hearts · Away4 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −0.89 |
| M33 | Cove Rangers · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +0.29 |
| M34 | Peterhead · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −0.39 |
| M35 | Montrose · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | −1.34 |
| M36 | Alloa · Away2 May 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +0.55 |
| Total | 54 | +0.55 | |||