Points
67Points expected by the market
51.31Gap
+15.69Yield
+24.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 37 | +8.90 | +29.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 23 | +2.90 | −18.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 7 | +3.89 | +174.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 24 | +6.29 | +32.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +1.19 | −27.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.12 | +339.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.61 | +25.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +1.71 | −11.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.77 | +119.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Alloa · Home2 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.23 |
| M2 | Cove Rangers · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +0.45 |
| M3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.37 | +2.82 |
| M4 | Queen of the South · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +2.63 |
| M5 | East Fife · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +2.23 |
| M6 | Kelty Hearts · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +3.61 |
| M7 | Peterhead · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +5.05 |
| M8 | Hamilton · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +4.06 |
| M9 | Montrose · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +5.44 |
| M10 | Cove Rangers · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +7.08 |
| M11 | Alloa · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +6.85 |
| M12 | Queen of the South · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +6.60 |
| M13 | Kelty Hearts · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.03 | +5.57 |
| M14 | East Fife · Away15 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +4.45 |
| M15 | Peterhead · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.84 | +6.28 |
| M16 | Hamilton · Home6 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +6.04 |
| M17 | Montrose · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +4.59 |
| M18 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +6.71 |
| M19 | Alloa · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | +6.59 |
| M20 | Queen of the South · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +8.23 |
| M21 | East Fife · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +9.47 |
| M22 | Kelty Hearts · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +10.73 |
| M23 | Peterhead · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.86 | +9.87 |
| M24 | Montrose · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | +9.04 |
| M25 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.39 | +9.43 |
| M26 | Cove Rangers · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +10.75 |
| M27 | Hamilton · Away3 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +12.21 |
| M28 | Queen of the South · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +12.04 |
| M29 | Peterhead · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +13.61 |
| M30 | Kelty Hearts · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +14.61 |
| M31 | East Fife · Away28 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | +13.79 |
| M32 | Hamilton · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +15.03 |
| M33 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +14.97 |
| M34 | Cove Rangers · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.67 | +13.30 |
| M35 | Alloa · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +14.70 |
| M36 | Montrose · Away2 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +15.69 |
| Total | 67 | +15.69 | |||