Points
19Points expected by the market
14.09Gap
+4.91Yield
+28.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.61 | +89.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 9 | +2.41 | +52.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.11 | −20.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.61 | +89.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.29 | +10.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.43 | +99.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +2.12 | +80.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.54 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hamilton · Home1 Aug 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.20 |
| M2 | Ross County · Away8 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −1.82 |
| M3 | Alloa · Away15 Aug 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −3.14 |
| M4 | East Kilbride · Home22 Aug 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.09 | −1.05 |
| M5 | Queen of the South · Home29 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.28 |
| M6 | Peterhead · Away5 Sep 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.06 |
| M7 | Cove Rangers · Home12 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +3.35 |
| M8 | East Fife · Away19 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +4.99 |
| M9 | Airdrieonians · Away3 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +3.96 |
| M10 | Ross County · Home10 Oct 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.66 | +3.30 |
| M11 | East Kilbride · Away17 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | +3.41 |
| M12 | Peterhead · Home24 Oct 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +4.91 |
| Total | 19 | +4.91 | |||