Points
24Points expected by the market
27.95Gap
−3.95Yield
−31.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.03 | −39.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 12 | −2.43 | −3.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −0.49 | −60.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.39 | −8.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +2.19 | +44.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | +0.77 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.65 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 0 | −4.62 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −1.26 | −51.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stenhousemuir · Away3 Aug 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.13 | +2.13 |
| M2 | Cove Rangers · Home10 Aug 2019 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.26 | +2.38 |
| M3 | Annan Athletic · Away17 Aug 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.97 | +1.41 |
| M4 | Brechin · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −0.23 |
| M5 | Stirling · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +1.33 |
| M6 | Queens Park · Away14 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +1.32 |
| M7 | Edinburgh City · Home21 Sep 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +0.16 |
| M8 | Cowdenbeath · Away28 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.98 |
| M9 | Elgin · Home5 Oct 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.29 |
| M10 | Cove Rangers · Away29 Oct 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.32 | −2.61 |
| M11 | Stirling · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.58 |
| M12 | Stenhousemuir · Home9 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.81 |
| M13 | Edinburgh City · Away16 Nov 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −2.52 |
| M14 | Queens Park · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −0.58 |
| M15 | Elgin · Away14 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.21 | −0.36 |
| M16 | Annan Athletic · Home21 Dec 2019 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.44 |
| M17 | Brechin · Away28 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | +0.79 |
| M18 | Stirling · Home4 Jan 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −0.49 |
| M19 | Queens Park · Away25 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.40 |
| M20 | Cove Rangers · Home1 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.52 | +0.12 |
| M21 | Brechin · Home8 Feb 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.37 |
| M22 | Stenhousemuir · Away15 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.16 |
| M23 | Annan Athletic · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.05 |
| M24 | Elgin · Home29 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.19 |
| M25 | Cowdenbeath · Away3 Mar 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −3.25 |
| M26 | Edinburgh City · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −3.95 |
| Total | 24 | −3.95 | |||